Intrepid Potash shows a cyclical valuation trap with forward earnings priced for a sharp reversion, a severely negative asymmetry setup, and an earnings-quality flag, consistent with a quality score below the engine's floor.
Thesis pillars
- Severe Negative Asymmetry↑Improving
- Cyclical Valuation Trap↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Quality Red Flag↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Intrepid Potash, Inc (IPI) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.
Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. The company offers muriate of potash for various markets, such as in agricultural market as a fertilizer input, in... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-14Recent Developments — Intrepid Potash, Inc
Latest news
- NEWS UBS Maintains Sell on Intrepid Potash, Raises Price Target to $29 — benzinga Aug 12, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Intrepid Potash Q2 Adj. EPS $0.56 Beats $0.38 Estimate, Sales $66.685M Beat $64.860M Estimate — benzinga Aug 4, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-08-14T12:42:24Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -1.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $37.62 (+4.6%), stop $33.46 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $37.62 (-13.8% upside). Target $37.62 (+4.6%), stop $33.46 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $33.46.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.
Intrepid Potash, Inc trades at a P/E of 30.8 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.
10 analysts cover IPI with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $37.
What does Intrepid Potash, Inc do?Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three...
Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. The company offers muriate of potash for various markets, such as in agricultural market as a fertilizer input, in animal feed market as a nutrient supplement, in industrial market as a component in drilling and fracturing fluids, as well as input to other industrial processes. It also provides Trio, a specialty fertilizer that delivers potassium, sulfate, and magnesium in a single particle; salt for various markets, including animal feed, industrial applications, pool salt, and the treatment of roads and walkways for ice melting or to manage road conditions; magnesium chloride for use as a road treatment agent for deicing and dedusting; brines for use in oil and gas industry to support well workover and completion activities; and metal recovery salts. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Denver, Colorado.