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IONDIonic Digital Inc.Buy Wait6.2·$79.86-4.23%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Ionic Digital is a high-quality, wide-moat business with growth cheap relative to earnings, but it already trades above its analyst target and is overbought near its 52-week high without a confirmed breakout, leaving a HIGH-conviction call that sits in tension with a failed risk/reward gate.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat High Quality BusinessStable
  • Cheap Growth Relative To Earnings
  • Price Already Above Analyst TargetStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ionic Digital Inc. (IOND) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Wait for pullback to $62.26. BUY gates pass at $79.86, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and expensive valuation argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $62.26 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Ionic Digital Inc. operates as a digital infrastructure solutions and cryptocurrency mining company. It leases digital infrastructure assets to hyperscalers, enterprise customers, and other businesses for high-performance computing and artificial intelligence cloud... Read more

$79.86-9.5% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#18 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Entry $62.26(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $53.01Target $83.30(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$85.00+6.4%2 analysts
Range unavailable (2 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $62.26. BUY gates pass at $79.86, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and expensive valuation argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $62.26 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.27, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.4 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)35.5
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA80.8
Profit Mgn-183.7%
ROE
Rev Growth30.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$90+12.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
3.0
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 35.5xPEG: 0.27
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $62.11Resistance $85.00

Price Targets

$53
$62
$83
A.Upside-9.5%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for IOND.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IOND stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $62.26. BUY gates pass at $79.86, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and expensive valuation argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $62.26 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.27, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $83.30 (+4.3%), stop $53.01 (−50.7%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.

What is the IOND stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.30 (-9.5% upside). Target $83.30 (+4.3%), stop $53.01 (−50.7%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $53.01.

What are the risks of investing in IOND?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is IOND overvalued or undervalued?

Ionic Digital Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 35.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IOND?

7 analysts cover IOND with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Ionic Digital Inc. do?Ionic Digital Inc. operates as a digital infrastructure solutions and cryptocurrency mining company. It leases digital...

Ionic Digital Inc. operates as a digital infrastructure solutions and cryptocurrency mining company. It leases digital infrastructure assets to hyperscalers, enterprise customers, and other businesses for high-performance computing and artificial intelligence cloud infrastructure. Ionic Digital Inc. was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Washington, District Of Columbia.

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