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HSBCHSBC Holdings, plc.Sell5.3·$96.78+1.01%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

HSBC offers reasonable forward valuation multiples and peer-leading margins, but the stock has moved to within rounding distance of its near-term price target with an unfavorable risk/reward, the dividend yield appears potentially uncovered, and the mixed earnings record limits the case for a meaningful re-rating at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Reasonable Valuation Forward MultiplesStable
  • Near Target Minimal Upside GeometryStable
  • Best In Class Margins Among PeersStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

HSBC Holdings, plc. (HSBC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

HSBC Holdings plc engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Hong Kong, UK, Corporate and Institutional Banking, and International Wealth and Premier Banking. The Hong Kong segment is involved in the... Read more

$96.78-0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#17 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.87%(5y avg 5.03%)Payout61.98%
Stop $93.32Target $95.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$113.78+17.6%3 analysts
$95.92our TP
$96.78price
$113.78mean
$132

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.0
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$331.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn35.0%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta0.56
Dividend3.87%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
3.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Value Rank
2.8
Quality Rank
6.3
Best-in-class margins
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $86.12Resistance $97.88

Price Targets

$93
$96
A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HSBC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $93.32. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HSBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.92 (-0.9% upside). Prior stop was $93.32. Stop-loss: $93.32.

What are the risks of investing in HSBC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is HSBC overvalued or undervalued?

HSBC Holdings, plc. trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HSBC?

21 analysts cover HSBC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $114.

What does HSBC Holdings, plc. do?HSBC Holdings plc engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services worldwide. It operates...

HSBC Holdings plc engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Hong Kong, UK, Corporate and Institutional Banking, and International Wealth and Premier Banking. The Hong Kong segment is involved in the retail banking and wealth and commercial banking of HSBC Hong Kong and Hang Seng Bank. The UK segment engages in UK retail banking and wealth, as well as first direct and M&S Bank, UK Commercial Banking, and HSBC Innovation Bank. The Corporate and Institutional Banking segment is involved in transaction banking and capital markets. The International Wealth and Premier Banking segment is involved in the business comprising premier banking outside of Hong Kong and the UK, its private bank, asset management, and insurance businesses. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: CM (Canadian Imperial Bank of Comme) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · BK (The Bank of New York Mellon Cor) · BNY (The Bank of New York Mellon Cor) · BMO (Bank Of Montreal)
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