Skip to main content
BACBank of America CorporationSell5.1·$51.70
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bank of America has delivered a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak and screens attractively valued at a forward multiple of 10.6x, but the current price leaves only about 6% headroom to the analyst consensus target and the risk/reward ratio of 0.7-to-1 does not meet the minimum threshold for a new entry — the setup favors holding an existing position rather than adding.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation At Entry→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Thin Asymmetry Limits Entry→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) Stock Analysis

SellValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Weak growth.

Bank of America serves consumers, businesses, institutions, and governments through four segments — Consumer Banking, Global Wealth & Investment Management, Global Banking, and Global Markets. With approximately 213,000 employees at December 31, 2025, the company earns revenue... Read more

$51.70+10.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#19 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.48%(5y avg 2.30%)Payout25.87%sustainable
Stop $49.20Target $57.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$63.45+22.7%22 analysts
$57.11our TP
$51.70price
$63.45mean
$71

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Bank of America Corporation

About Bank of America Corporation

Bank of America carries a stress capital buffer (SCB) of 2.5% based on the 2025 CCAR stress test and a global systemically important bank (G-SIB) surcharge of 3.0%, establishing its designation as a systemically important financial institution. Regulated by the Federal Reserve as holding company overseer and by the OCC and FDIC for national banking subsidiaries, the corporation employed approximately 213,000 people at December 31, 2025, organized across Consumer Banking, Global Wealth & Investment Management (GWIM), Global Banking, and Global Markets.

Bank of America earns revenue through net interest income on loans and securities, fees from wealth management and investment banking, and trading gains in Global Markets. Consumer Banking collects deposits and originates retail loans and mortgages; GWIM manages client assets and earns advisory fees; Global Banking provides corporate lending and treasury management; Global Markets makes markets in fixed income, currencies, commodities, and equities. The corporation's funding relies on globally sourced deposits in bank entities supplemented by secured and unsecured capital markets liabilities — including short-term repo markets that are credit-sensitive — and securitization transactions with government-sponsored enterprises to fund consumer lending. The 2025 CCAR result reduced the SCB to 2.5 percent, while the G-SIB surcharge of 3.0 percent imposes a separate capital layer above regulatory minimums. Intercompany transactions between bank and nonbank affiliates are constrained by quantitative and qualitative limits under Regulation W, while broker-dealer subsidiaries face additional oversight from the SEC and Financial Industry Regulatory Authority.

Show full overview

The Federal Reserve acts as Bank of America's primary BHC regulator, with OCC and FDIC supervising national banking subsidiaries and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau overseeing consumer products and services. In 2024, federal regulators including the Federal Reserve and OCC proposed amendments to anti-money laundering program requirements for supervised institutions; the public comment period concluded and the rule remains pending, which may impose additional compliance costs when finalized. The corporation's G-SIB designation obligates biennial resolution plan submissions to both the Federal Reserve and FDIC, with the preferred strategy a single-point-of-entry bankruptcy of the parent holding company — a structure that limits parent-level liquidity access in a stress scenario.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

From Bank of America Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jan 15, 202790d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.3
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$361.5B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn28.1%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta1.21
Dividend2.48%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C15.82bearish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$67+29.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.3

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.6
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 20, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
20 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.26Resistance $58.28

Price Targets

$49
$57
A.Upside+10.5%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-15 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $49.20. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.11 (+10.5% upside). Prior stop was $49.20. Stop-loss: $49.20.

What are the risks of investing in BAC?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is BAC overvalued or undervalued?

Bank of America Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BAC?

29 analysts cover BAC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Bank of America Corporation do?Bank of America serves consumers, businesses, institutions, and governments through four segments — Consumer Banking,...

Bank of America serves consumers, businesses, institutions, and governments through four segments — Consumer Banking, Global Wealth & Investment Management, Global Banking, and Global Markets. With approximately 213,000 employees at December 31, 2025, the company earns revenue from net interest income, fees, wealth management, and trading, supervised by the Federal Reserve, OCC, and FDIC.

Related stocks: SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group) · BCS (Barclays PLC) · MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,) · HSBC (HSBC Holdings, plc.) · BBVA (Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria)
Home › Stocks › BAC

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga6h agoRISKLegal
Benzinga18h agoCONCERNEarnings
Yahoo Finance2d ago
Barchart.com2d ago
StockStory2d ago
Stocktwits2d ago
Yahoo Finance9d agoLegal
Stocktwits9d agoEarnings
Stocktwits9d ago
Zacks Investment Research3d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance3d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha10d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance1d ago
Simply Wall Street1d agoLegal
MarketBeat8d ago
Yahoo Finance8d agoEarnings
MarketBeat8d ago
Simply Wall Street8d ago
Benzinga5d agoEarnings
Beinsure5d ago
Loading more...