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JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $312.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

JPMorgan Chase is a U.S. financial holding company with $4.4 trillion in assets, operating through Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management segments. Revenue comes from lending, investment banking, transaction processing, and... Read more

$312.61+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#13 of 19 Banks - Diversified
Stop $299.77Target $313.84(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$340.45+8.9%22 analysts
$313.84our TP
$312.61price
$340.45mean
$288
$391

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $312.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.8
P/E (Fwd)13.2
Mkt Cap$828.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn33.9%
ROE16.5%
Rev Growth12.7%
Beta1.04
Dividend1.94%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.82neutral
IV36%normal
Max Pain$165-47.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $287.25Resistance $320.24

Price Targets

$300
$314
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.6% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-14 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JPM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $312.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $299.77. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JPM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $313.84 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $299.77. Stop-loss: $299.77.

What are the risks of investing in JPM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is JPM overvalued or undervalued?

JP Morgan Chase & Co. trades at a P/E of 14.8 (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JPM?

32 analysts cover JPM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $340.

What does JP Morgan Chase & Co. do?JPMorgan Chase is a U.S. financial holding company with $4.4 trillion in assets, operating through Consumer & Community...

JPMorgan Chase is a U.S. financial holding company with $4.4 trillion in assets, operating through Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management segments. Revenue comes from lending, investment banking, transaction processing, and asset management, serving millions of consumers and institutional clients globally via branches in 48 states.

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