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HROWHarrow, Inc.Sell4.3·$38.31-8.52%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A specialty pharmaceutical business with recovering price momentum carries a portfolio of structural weaknesses — cash-burning operations, no measurable competitive moat, a combined growth-plus-margin profile of negative 9, and revenue declining 8% year-over-year — that keep it below the minimum quality threshold required to build a position; the analyst community's implied 51% upside may reflect a turnaround hope that the fundamentals have not yet validated.

Thesis pillars

  • Sub Floor Business QualityStable
  • Revenue Contraction HeadwindStable
  • Back To Back Earnings MissesImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Harrow, Inc. (HROW) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.31: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.39; Below-average business quality.

Harrow is a North American ophthalmic disease management company that markets a broad portfolio of FDA-approved branded eye-care pharmaceuticals, including IHEEZO, VEVYE, TRIESENCE, and biosimilars BYOOVIZ and OPUVIZ, alongside its ImprimisRx compounding pharmacy business... Read more

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.35%
Stop $36.97Target $58.94(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst target$67.75+76.8%8 analysts
$58.94our TP
$38.31price
$67.75mean
$88

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.31: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.39; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202615d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA42.1
Profit Mgn-5.6%
ROE-35.4%
Rev Growth-7.6%
Beta0.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.39bearish
IV92%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -7.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.6
Declining revenue: -8%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
2.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume
5.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Volatile — 6.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Days To Cover
0.8
Short Interest
1.5
Put Call
4.1
News Risk
6.0
Beta
10.0
High short interest justified: 20%High IV: 92%

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
2.1
Rule Of 40
3.0
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.4
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -2% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -9 (fail)
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $38.11Resistance $47.50

Price Targets

$37
$59
A.Upside+53.3%
A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HROW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.31: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.39; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $36.97. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HROW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.94 (+53.3% upside). Prior stop was $36.97. Stop-loss: $36.97.

What are the risks of investing in HROW?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is HROW overvalued or undervalued?

Harrow, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HROW?

14 analysts cover HROW with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Harrow, Inc. do?Harrow is a North American ophthalmic disease management company that markets a broad portfolio of FDA-approved branded...

Harrow is a North American ophthalmic disease management company that markets a broad portfolio of FDA-approved branded eye-care pharmaceuticals, including IHEEZO, VEVYE, TRIESENCE, and biosimilars BYOOVIZ and OPUVIZ, alongside its ImprimisRx compounding pharmacy business serving more than 10,000 U.S. eyecare prescribers and institutions. Harrow does not manufacture its own branded products, instead relying on third-party contract manufacturers across the U.S., France, Belgium, Spain, and Taiwan, and its revenue depends heavily on reimbursement from Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial payors.

Related stocks: IRWD (Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · INDV (Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · ANIP (ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · BCRX (BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · KNSA (Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Interna)
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