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HLNHaleon plcHold5.7·$9.78+0.72%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Haleon offers a financially sound consumer health franchise with strong margins and a favorable risk/reward setup, but a death cross and sustained negative price momentum block near-term entry; the thesis requires a technical reversal before the asymmetric upside becomes actionable.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Margins PiotroskiStable
  • Death Cross Price MomentumDeteriorating
  • Asymmetric Upside Risk RewardStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Haleon plc (HLN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.78, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Haleon plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of various consumer healthcare products in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers oral health products, such... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.25%
IncomeYield1.99%Payout37.08%sustainable
Stop $9.42Target $10.14(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$11.65+19.1%5 analysts
$10.14our TP
$9.78price
$11.65mean
$14

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.78, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.6%
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)16.1
Mkt Cap$43.1B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.24
Dividend1.99%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV71%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.22Resistance $10.24

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.78, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $10.14 (+3.7%), stop $9.42 (−3.8%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.14 (+3.6% upside). Target $10.14 (+3.7%), stop $9.42 (−3.8%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $9.42.

What are the risks of investing in HLN?

Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is HLN overvalued or undervalued?

Haleon plc trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HLN?

26 analysts cover HLN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Haleon plc do?Haleon plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of various...

Haleon plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of various consumer healthcare products in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers oral health products, such as toothpastes, mouth washes, and denture care products under the Sensodyne, Polident, Parodontax, and Biotene brands; and vitamins, minerals, and supplements under Centrum, Emergen-C, Caltrate brands. It also provides various over-the-counter products comprising nasal drops, and cold, flu, and allergy relief products under Theraflu, and Flonase brands for respiratory issues; and pain relief products under Voltaren, Panadol, and Advil brands; and antacids and antihistamine products under TUMS, ENO, and Fenistil brands for digestive health and other issues. Haleon plc has a collaboration agreement with Microsoft to scale digital, data and AI capabilities across the business and accelerate delivery of its global win as one strategy. Haleon plc was formerly known as DRVW 2022 plc and changed its name to Haleon plc in February 2022. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Weybridge, the United Kingdom.

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