Hartford screens as a high-quality compounder — a wide economic moat, a near-perfect Piotroski F-Score, and a forward P/E of 9.2x at a PEG of 0.22 — but the stock has nearly closed the gap to the analyst consensus target, leaving only about 2.4% headroom and a reward-to-risk ratio well below the threshold needed to justify adding; the setup favors holding an existing position rather than initiating.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
- Wide Moat Compounder Quality→Stable
- Strong Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
The Hartford Insurance Group, I (HIG) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $137.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: AARP exclusive licensing; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
The Hartford Insurance Group provides P&C insurance, employee benefits, and mutual funds across five segments in the US and internationally, with $86.0 billion in total assets at year-end 2025. The company generated $28.4 billion in revenues in 2025; Business Insurance (earned... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $137.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: AARP exclusive licensing; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About The Hartford Insurance Group, I
About The Hartford Insurance Group, I
The Hartford Insurance Group generated $28.4 billion in total revenues during 2025 across five reportable segments, with Business Insurance contributing $13.9 billion in earned premiums and Personal Insurance contributing $3.7 billion. Total assets were $86.0 billion and stockholders' equity was $19.0 billion at December 31, 2025. The company operates primarily in the United States as a P&C and employee-benefits insurer, with Lloyd's Syndicate 1221 regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and Prudential Regulatory Authority in the United Kingdom.
Business Insurance spans three customer segments—small business, middle & large business, and global specialty—distributing workers' compensation, general liability, commercial property, professional liability, marine, bond, commercial automobile, and assumed reinsurance through independent retail agents, wholesale agents, and specialty brokers in both admitted and surplus lines markets. Global specialty accesses the Lloyd's market through Syndicate 1221, connecting to over 50 syndicates and 350 brokers writing in more than 200 countries. Personal Insurance writes automobile and homeowners coverage almost entirely through the exclusive AARP licensing arrangement, which contributed $3.4 billion of the segment's $3.7 billion in 2025 earned premiums. Distribution is concentrating: the 10-K notes that independent agents and brokers are consolidating, and a larger proportion of written premium may be concentrated among fewer distribution partners, placing greater emphasis on carrier enablement and digital connectivity. Employee Benefits and Hartford Funds contribute group benefits and asset management revenues.
Show full overview
The exclusive AARP licensing arrangement dominates Personal Insurance revenue, generating $3.4 billion of the segment's $3.7 billion in 2025 earned premiums. The arrangement is contractually embedded, with the current deal including the rollout of Prevail—a new cloud-based product platform—planned for 30 state launches by early 2027. Any deterioration of the AARP exclusivity could weigh on the Personal Insurance segment disproportionately given the scale of the arrangement, and the 10-K notes distribution concentration more broadly may intensify among larger brokers who are exercising greater bargaining power over the insurance value chain.
See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified
From The Hartford Insurance Group, I's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — The Hartford Insurance Group, I
Latest news
- NEWS HIG (The Hartford Insurance Group Inc.) posts 25 percent Q4 2025 EPS beat, shares trade nearly flat after results. - Dir — Xã Thanh Hà positive
- NEWS HIG (The) notches 25 percent EPS beat and 6.4 percent revenue growth in Q4 2025, shares edge lower. - Growth Acceleratio — Xã Vĩnh Công positive
- NEWS How The Hartford (HIG) Story Is Shifting With Tighter Targets And New Growth Initiatives - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Hartford (HIG) To Report Earnings Tomorrow: Here Is What To Expect - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Hartford Insurance (HIG) Gets a Hold from Bank of America Securities - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
Generated 2026-07-07T12:31:57Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHcounterpartyAARP exclusive licensing10-K Item 1: 'Most of Personal Insurance's sales are associated with its exclusive licensing arrangement with AARP'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $137.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: AARP exclusive licensing; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $135.14 (-1.8%), stop $132.62 (−3.8%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $135.14 (-1.8% upside). Target $135.14 (-1.8%), stop $132.62 (−3.8%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $132.62.
Concentration risk — Counterparty: AARP exclusive licensing; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).
The Hartford Insurance Group, I trades at a P/E of 9.7 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.
29 analysts cover HIG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $148.
What does The Hartford Insurance Group, I do?The Hartford Insurance Group provides P&C insurance, employee benefits, and mutual funds across five segments in the US...
The Hartford Insurance Group provides P&C insurance, employee benefits, and mutual funds across five segments in the US and internationally, with $86.0 billion in total assets at year-end 2025. The company generated $28.4 billion in revenues in 2025; Business Insurance (earned premiums $13.9 billion) is the dominant segment. Personal Insurance earns nearly all of its $3.7 billion in premiums through an exclusive AARP licensing arrangement.