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HAFNHafnia LimitedSell5.6·$9.19+2.91%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Hafnia combines an attractive valuation at a forward earnings multiple of 11.6x with 22% revenue growth and peer-leading positioning, but a material earnings-quality concern — free cash flow running at only 28% of net income — and below-threshold momentum mean the full investment case is not yet confirmed, though the risk-to-reward at roughly 2.2-to-1 remains favorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation With Strong GrowthDeteriorating
  • Fcf Earnings Gap Red FlagImproving
  • Peer Leading Growth And ReturnsDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hafnia Limited (HAFN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.19 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing).

Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through Long Range II, Long Range I, Medium Range (MR), and Handy Size segments. The company transports clean and dirty, refined oil products, vegetable oil, and easy... Read more

$9.19-14.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#16 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $8.65Target $10.57(default +15%)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$9.25+0.7%2 analysts
$10.57our TP
$9.19price
$9.25mean
$9
$11

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.19 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.9
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn32.7%
ROE
Rev Growth-8.7%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV150%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -8.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.3
Declining revenue: -9%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.25Resistance $9.19

Price Targets

$9
$11
A.Upside-14.4%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HAFN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.19 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.65. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HAFN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.57 (-14.4% upside). Prior stop was $8.65. Stop-loss: $8.65.

What are the risks of investing in HAFN?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away).

Is HAFN overvalued or undervalued?

Hafnia Limited trades at a P/E of 6.9 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HAFN?

16 analysts cover HAFN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Hafnia Limited do?Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through...

Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through Long Range II, Long Range I, Medium Range (MR), and Handy Size segments. The company transports clean and dirty, refined oil products, vegetable oil, and easy chemicals to national and international oil companies, and chemical companies, as well as trading and utility companies. It also engages in ship owning, chartering, and provision of maritime services in the product and chemical tankers market. The company was formerly known as BW Tankers Limited and changed its name to Hafnia Limited. In January 2019. Hafnia Limited was founded in 2010 and is based in Singapore.

Related stocks: HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · PANL (Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd)
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