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HAFNHafnia LimitedHold6.5·$7.02+7.01%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Hafnia combines an attractive valuation at a forward earnings multiple of 11.6x with 22% revenue growth and peer-leading positioning, but a material earnings-quality concern — free cash flow running at only 28% of net income — and below-threshold momentum mean the full investment case is not yet confirmed, though the risk-to-reward at roughly 2.2-to-1 remains favorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation With Strong GrowthStable
  • Fcf Earnings Gap Red FlagStable
  • Peer Leading Growth And ReturnsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hafnia Limited (HAFN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through Long Range II, Long Range I, Medium Range (MR), and Handy Size segments. The company transports clean and dirty, refined oil products, vegetable oil, and easy... Read more

$7.02+21.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.64%
IncomeYield10.43%Payout60.63%
Stop $6.53Target $8.50(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$10.00+42.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 28, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.8
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn19.0%
ROE18.9%
Rev Growth22.5%
Beta-0.17
Dividend10.43%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C66.67bearish
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
3.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume
5.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5INSIDER 0.25%=MODERATEA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.50Resistance $7.70

Price Targets

$7
$9
A.Upside+21.1%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-28 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HAFN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $8.50 (+21.1%), stop $6.53 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HAFN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.50 (+21.1% upside). Target $8.50 (+21.1%), stop $6.53 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $6.53.

What are the risks of investing in HAFN?

Negative momentum.

Is HAFN overvalued or undervalued?

Hafnia Limited trades at a P/E of 7.8 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HAFN?

15 analysts cover HAFN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Hafnia Limited do?Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through...

Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through Long Range II, Long Range I, Medium Range (MR), and Handy Size segments. The company transports clean and dirty, refined oil products, vegetable oil, and easy chemicals to national and international oil companies, and chemical companies, as well as trading and utility companies. It also engages in ship owning, chartering, and provision of maritime services in the product and chemical tankers market. The company was formerly known as BW Tankers Limited and changed its name to Hafnia Limited. In January 2019. Hafnia Limited was founded in 2010 and is based in Singapore.

Related stocks: NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · ECO (Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · PANL (Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd)
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