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GTESGates Industrial Corporation plSell5.5·$27.69+1.24%
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Gates Industrial Corporation pl (GTES) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Power Transmission segment (62.0%).

Gates Industrial manufactures power transmission (belts, tensioners) and fluid power (hoses, fittings) products sold globally under the Gates brand across two segments, with fiscal 2025 net sales of $3,443.2 million. Approximately 68% of sales come from higher-margin aftermarket... Read more

$27.69-0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#19 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.24%
Stop $25.79Target $27.62(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$31.08+12.3%12 analysts
$27.62our TP
$27.69price
$31.08mean
$26
$37

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Power Transmission segment (62.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Gates Industrial Corporation pl

About Gates Industrial Corporation pl

Gates Industrial generated $3,443.2 million in net sales during fiscal year 2025, split between Power Transmission (approximately 62% of revenue) and Fluid Power (38%). Approximately 68% of total fiscal 2025 sales came from aftermarket channels; the remaining 32% were from OEM customers. Revenue spans more than 130 countries, with 37% from U.S. customers and 63% from international markets, while manufacturing operations extend across facilities in 31 countries.

Gates earns premium pricing through industrial belts, hoses, and related components that are often mission-critical in equipment where downtime costs exceed the component price itself. The aftermarket channel generates the majority of gross profit: in North America and EMEA, 73% of fiscal 2025 net sales came from these channels, driven by large aging installed-equipment bases on predictable maintenance cycles — a combine harvester, for example, carries more than 25 high-performance belts replaced at regular intervals. OEM revenue (32% of the mix) spans agricultural, construction, on-highway, and energy end markets, with the top ten customers collectively representing approximately 24% of consolidated net sales and no single customer exceeding 10%. Raw materials — rubber-based materials, polymers, aluminum, and steel — are purchased from a diversified supplier base, though the company does not hold long-term pricing contracts, exposing margins to inflation and tariff volatility.

Show full overview

Gates competes on product quality, availability, and aftermarket service rather than price, but the 10-K discloses ongoing pricing pressure from OEM customers who routinely seek reductions both at bid time and during the award term. If price reductions cannot be offset through improved operating efficiency or new products, operating margins may be materially affected. Tariff volatility compounds this exposure: U.S. tariff policies enacted in 2025 raise input costs that may not be recoverable through pricing on a timely basis, and retaliatory tariffs from key trading partners could further erode margins on the 63% of net sales originating outside the U.S.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Gates Industrial Corporation pl's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Power Transmission segment (62.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.8
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta1.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C183.03bearish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$18-35.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductPower Transmission segment62%
    10-K Item 1: 'Power transmission products represented approximately 62% of our total net sales for Fiscal 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicU.S. customers37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 37% of our Fiscal 2025 revenues were generated from customers in the U.S.'
  • LOWCustomertop ten customers24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top ten customers accounted for approximately 24% of our consolidated net sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
2.8
Value Rank
7.4

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.86Resistance $28.18

Price Targets

$26
$28
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GTES stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Power Transmission segment (62.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $25.79. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GTES stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.62 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $25.79. Stop-loss: $25.79.

What are the risks of investing in GTES?

Concentration risk — Product: Power Transmission segment (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

Is GTES overvalued or undervalued?

Gates Industrial Corporation pl trades at a P/E of 28.8 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GTES?

18 analysts cover GTES with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Gates Industrial Corporation pl do?Gates Industrial manufactures power transmission (belts, tensioners) and fluid power (hoses, fittings) products sold...

Gates Industrial manufactures power transmission (belts, tensioners) and fluid power (hoses, fittings) products sold globally under the Gates brand across two segments, with fiscal 2025 net sales of $3,443.2 million. Approximately 68% of sales come from higher-margin aftermarket channels and 32% from OEM customers, with no single customer exceeding 10% of sales.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.) · CSW (CSW Industrials, Inc.) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation)
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