The business demonstrates exceptional quality—a wide economic moat, 34% return on equity, 42% operating margins, and a Piotroski F-score of 8 out of 9—paired with 32% revenue growth and roughly 30% upside to the analyst price target; the primary near-term overhangs are weak price momentum and a free cash flow conversion shortfall that deserve monitoring before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Geographic Concentration Overhang—
- High Quality Franchise Wide Moat—
- Strong Revenue Growth—
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Temporary headwind edge
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $161.10 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma.
Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81% from the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio and 19% from the SCOOP in central Oklahoma. Proved reserves totaled 4.3 Tcfe at December 31, 2025 with PV-10 of $3.6... Read more
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $161.10 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 1.2 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (1.2) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=energy 4/10). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-15Recent Developments — Gulfport Energy Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS William Blair Maintains Gulfport Energy(GPOR.US) With Buy Rating - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 positive
- NEWS How The Gulfport Energy (GPOR) Story Is Shifting As Analyst Views Rebalance - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Mizuho upgrades Gulfport Energy stock rating on valuation opportunity - Investing.com UK — Investing.com UK positive
- NEWS Gulfport Energy (NYSE:GPOR) Raised to "Outperform" at Mizuho - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Mizuho Securities Upgrades Gulfport Energy to Outperform From Neutral, $251 Price Target - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
Generated 2026-07-15T05:26:58Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUtica/Marcellus81%10-K Item 1: 'we produced approximately 841 MMcfe per day net to our interests in Utica/Marcellus and it accounted for approximately 81% of our total production.'
- HIGHGeographiceastern Ohio and central Oklahoma10-K Item 1A: 'All of our producing properties are located in eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in only these regions.'
- MEDIUMCommoditynatural gas10-K Item 1: 'Gulfport is an independent natural gas-weighted exploration and production company with assets primarily located in the Appalachia and Anadarko basins.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMOn May 28, 2026, Domenic J. Dell'Osso, Jr. appointed President and CEO of Gulfport Energy, effective May 28, 2026. Previously CEO of Expand Energy Corp (formerly Chesapeake Energy) 2021–Feb 2026. Board expanded to 7 members; Dell'Osso joined through 2027 Annual Meeting. RSU grant also approved for SVP of Reservoir Engineering ($222,500).SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $161.10 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 1.2 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (1.2) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Target $206.59 (+36.4%), stop $150.80 (−0.5%), A.R:R 5.3:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $206.59 (+36.4% upside). Target $206.59 (+36.4%), stop $150.80 (−0.5%), A.R:R 5.3:1. Stop-loss: $150.80.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma; Negative momentum.
Gulfport Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.0 (forward 5.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
19 analysts cover GPOR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $237.
What does Gulfport Energy Corporation do?Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81%...
Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81% from the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio and 19% from the SCOOP in central Oklahoma. Proved reserves totaled 4.3 Tcfe at December 31, 2025 with PV-10 of $3.6 billion, supported by a 2026 capital program of $400-$430 million targeting approximately 1.030-1.055 Bcfe per day.