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GPORGulfport Energy CorporationBuy Wait7.5·$163.84+1.53%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

The business demonstrates exceptional quality—a wide economic moat, 34% return on equity, 42% operating margins, and a Piotroski F-score of 8 out of 9—paired with 32% revenue growth and roughly 30% upside to the analyst price target; the primary near-term overhangs are weak price momentum and a free cash flow conversion shortfall that deserve monitoring before adding to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Concentration OverhangImproving
  • High Quality Franchise Wide MoatStable
  • Strong Revenue GrowthStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 0 days (2026-08-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $153.01. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $163.84. Engine's entry $153.01 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma.

Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81% from the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio and 19% from the SCOOP in central Oklahoma. Proved reserves totaled 4.3 Tcfe at December 31, 2025 with PV-10 of $3.6... Read more

$163.84+22.7% A.UpsideScore 7.5/10#1 of 48 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.06%
Entry $153.01(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $143.67Target $201.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$231.08+41.0%12 analysts
$201.04our TP
$163.84price
$231.08mean
$265

Wait for pullback to $153.01. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $163.84. Engine's entry $153.01 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on news soft leadership change and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.5/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.3
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA3.3
Profit Mgn42.1%
ROE34.0%
Rev Growth32.3%
Beta0.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUtica/Marcellus81%
    10-K Item 1: 'we produced approximately 841 MMcfe per day net to our interests in Utica/Marcellus and it accounted for approximately 81% of our total production.'
  • HIGHGeographiceastern Ohio and central Oklahoma
    10-K Item 1A: 'All of our producing properties are located in eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in only these regions.'
  • MEDIUMCommoditynatural gas
    10-K Item 1: 'Gulfport is an independent natural gas-weighted exploration and production company with assets primarily located in the Appalachia and Anadarko basins.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On May 28, 2026, Domenic J. Dell'Osso, Jr. appointed President and CEO of Gulfport Energy, effective May 28, 2026. Previously CEO of Expand Energy Corp (formerly Chesapeake Energy) 2021–Feb 2026. Board expanded to 7 members; Dell'Osso joined through 2027 Annual Meeting. RSU grant also approved for SVP of Reservoir Engineering ($222,500).
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.0
Support Resistance
2.4
52w Position
4.5
GatesNEWS SOFT LEADERSHIP CHANGEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $149.18Resistance $168.55

Price Targets

$144
$153
$201
A.Upside+22.7%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! NEWS_SOFT:LEADERSHIP_CHANGE
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPOR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $153.01. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $163.84. Engine's entry $153.01 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $201.04 (+22.7%), stop $143.67 (−14.0%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

What is the GPOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $201.04 (+22.7% upside). Target $201.04 (+22.7%), stop $143.67 (−14.0%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $143.67.

What are the risks of investing in GPOR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is GPOR overvalued or undervalued?

Gulfport Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.3 (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GPOR?

19 analysts cover GPOR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $231.

What does Gulfport Energy Corporation do?Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81%...

Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81% from the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio and 19% from the SCOOP in central Oklahoma. Proved reserves totaled 4.3 Tcfe at December 31, 2025 with PV-10 of $3.6 billion, supported by a 2026 capital program of $400-$430 million targeting approximately 1.030-1.055 Bcfe per day.

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