Skip to main content
GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Sell6.0·$46.73-0.02%
Open full analysis

Gaming and Leisure Properties, (GLPI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. At $46.73, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 97% of NOI from top-5 tenants (PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, Bally's) (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN.

Gaming and Leisure Properties is a Pennsylvania REIT that owns interests in 69 gaming facilities across 20 states, leasing them to operators including PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, and Bally's under triple-net leases. All properties were 100% occupied at December 31, 2025, with... Read more

$46.73+5.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.67%
IncomeYield7.02%(5y avg 6.05%)Payout98.42%
Stop $44.97Target $49.07(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$54.52+16.7%23 analysts
$49.07our TP
$46.73price
$54.52mean
$62

Sell if holding. At $46.73, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 97% of NOI from top-5 tenants (PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, Bally's) (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and reit tenant cliff hard block. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Gaming and Leisure Properties,

About Gaming and Leisure Properties,

Gaming and Leisure Properties holds interests in 69 gaming and related facilities across 20 states, all 100% occupied at December 31, 2025, covering more than 6,600 acres. Roughly 97% of cash rent flows from PENN Entertainment, Caesars Entertainment, Boyd Gaming, The Cordish Companies, and Bally's Corporation under long-term triple-net leases. The company completed $3.7 billion in transactions since January 1, 2024 and held unfunded development commitments exceeding $2.1 billion at year-end.

Gaming and Leisure Properties earns revenue from rental income under triple-net leases in which tenants bear all operating costs — maintenance, insurance, taxes, and utilities. Leases carry fixed base rent escalators of up to 2% annually, conditional on coverage ratio thresholds, plus percentage rent components reset periodically based on tenant net revenues. Lease initial terms range from April 2031 to December 2039 across the master leases, with multiple 5-year renewal options exercisable by tenants. The company supplements rental income with construction and development loans; the largest single commitment is up to $940 million for Bally's Chicago — of which $201.6 million had been advanced at December 31, 2025 — with an additional $467 million committed for The Cordish Companies' Live! Virginia Casino & Hotel in Petersburg, Virginia. All indebtedness is issued by GLP Capital, L.P., fully and unconditionally guaranteed by GLPI.

Show full overview

The majority of GLPI's revenues flow from PENN, whose two master leases — the Amended Penn Master Lease and the Penn 2023 Master Lease — expire October 31, 2033, with three remaining 5-year renewal options. The Amended Penn Master Lease carried a coverage ratio of 2.12 at September 30, 2025, above the 1.8 minimum escalator governor, while the Penn 2023 Master Lease showed 1.86. Continued gaming-industry consolidation could make it increasingly difficult to find alternative tenants should PENN fail to renew, and federal bankruptcy law could limit eviction rights while statutory caps on unpaid future rent claims may result in recoveries substantially below contractual rent.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

From Gaming and Leisure Properties, 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
REIT tenant concentration cliff: 97% of NOI from top-5 tenants (PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, Bally's) (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.
Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN
Concentration risk — Tenant: top-5 tenants (PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, Bally's) (97.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.7
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$13.2B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn55.1%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta0.69
Dividend7.02%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.25bearish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHTenantPENN
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our revenues are dependent on PENN and its subsidiaries.'
  • HIGHTenanttop-5 tenants (PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, Bally's)97%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 97% of our cash rent comes from five of the company's tenants, PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish and Bally's'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotREIT TENANT CLIFF HARD BLOCKMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.06Resistance $48.17

Price Targets

$45
$49
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! REIT_TENANT_CLIFF:HARD_BLOCK

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLPI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $46.73, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 97% of NOI from top-5 tenants (PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, Bally's) (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $44.97. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.07 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $44.97. Stop-loss: $44.97.

What are the risks of investing in GLPI?

REIT tenant concentration cliff: 97% of NOI from top-5 tenants (PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, Bally's) (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN; Concentration risk — Tenant: top-5 tenants (PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, Bally's) (97.0%).

Is GLPI overvalued or undervalued?

Gaming and Leisure Properties, trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GLPI?

30 analysts cover GLPI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Gaming and Leisure Properties, do?Gaming and Leisure Properties is a Pennsylvania REIT that owns interests in 69 gaming facilities across 20 states,...

Gaming and Leisure Properties is a Pennsylvania REIT that owns interests in 69 gaming facilities across 20 states, leasing them to operators including PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, and Bally's under triple-net leases. All properties were 100% occupied at December 31, 2025, with roughly 97% of cash rent concentrated among those five tenants.

Related stocks: FRMI (Fermi Inc.) · RYN (Rayonier Inc. REIT) · DLR (Digital Realty Trust, Inc.) · AMT (American Tower Corporation (REI) · UNIT (Uniti Group Inc.)
Home Stocks GLPI

Latest news

Latest News

AlphaStreet56d agoEarnings
Xã Vĩnh Công56d ago
MSN56d ago
UBND thành phố Hải Phòng56d ago
Investing.com Australia28d ago
Quiver Quantitative28d ago
MarketBeat28d ago
GuruFocus63d ago
MarketBeat35d ago
TradingView57d agoEarnings
GuruFocus57d agoAnalyst
富途牛牛57d ago
AOL.com64d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail64d agoEarnings
MarketBeat64d ago
Bitget64d agoEarnings
Bitget.com64d agoEarnings
Exchange Bitget64d agoEarnings
Moomoo36d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance55d ago
Loading more...