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GLNGGolar LNG LimitedSell6.1·$51.79-2.52%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Golar LNG has delivered exceptional headline revenue growth at 120% year-over-year and carries strong 30% operating margins, but free cash flow is deeply negative at a rate more than six times net income in the opposite direction, while two consecutive large earnings misses and a price already near its analyst target leave the near-term risk/reward too thin to justify new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Revenue GrowthStable
  • Deeply Negative Free Cash FlowStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Golar LNG Limited (GLNG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. At $51.79, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak).

Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The company operates in two segments, FLNG, and Corporate and Other. It engages in the regasification, storage, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier... Read more

$51.79+7.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#22 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-7.18%
IncomeYield1.92%(5y avg 3.03%)Payout68.49%
Stop $49.23Target $55.63(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$63.94+23.5%9 analysts
$55.63our TP
$51.79price
$63.94mean
$45
$74

Sell if holding. At $51.79, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak)
Thin upside margin: 7.0%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.6
P/E (Fwd)103.0
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA22.1
Profit Mgn31.3%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth72.4%
Beta0.04
Dividend1.92%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
1.0
Ps
3.4
Pe
3.6
Analyst Target
6.0
Peg Ratio
7.9
Forward P/E: 103.0xPEG: 0.85
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.70Resistance $55.23

Price Targets

$49
$56
A.Upside+7.0%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 103x vs trail 36x (2.9x)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLNG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $51.79, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $49.23. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.63 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $49.23. Stop-loss: $49.23.

What are the risks of investing in GLNG?

Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak); Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is GLNG overvalued or undervalued?

Golar LNG Limited trades at a P/E of 35.6 (forward 103.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GLNG?

16 analysts cover GLNG with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Golar LNG Limited do?Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The...

Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The company operates in two segments, FLNG, and Corporate and Other. It engages in the regasification, storage, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier transportation operations; operation of floating liquefaction natural gas (FLNG) vessels or projects; transportation of LNG carriers; and vessel management activities. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: TRMD (TORM plc) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.)
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