Graham Holdings combines a strong earnings beat record averaging approximately 19 percentage points above consensus with powerful technical momentum in a breakout configuration, but the stock has substantially overrun analyst consensus estimates and the free cash flow conversion of 70% relative to net income warrants monitoring before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance→Stable
- Technical Breakout With Strong Momentum↓Deteriorating
- Stock Substantially Above Analyst Consensus→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Graham Holdings Company (GHC) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Conglomerates
Wait for pullback to $1121.96. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $1154.88. Engine's entry $1121.96 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales). In 2025, this unit provided courses to approximately 44,030 students in accountancy, tax and financial services. Kaplan Professional... Read more
Wait for pullback to $1121.96. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $1154.88. Engine's entry $1121.96 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Graham Holdings Company
Latest news
- NEWS Graham Holdings Stock Surges 3 Percent Following Kaplan Unit Sale - HarianBasis.co — HarianBasis.co positive
- NEWS Graham (GHC) to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC Boosts Stock Holdings in Graham Holdings Company $GHC - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Graham (GHC) to Release Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Is Graham Holdings (GHC) Overvalued After Q1 2026 Earnings? EPS - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
Generated 2026-07-26T09:23:00Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $1121.96. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $1154.88. Engine's entry $1121.96 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $1191.39 (+3.2%), stop $1077.43 (−7.2%), A.R:R -4.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $1191.39 (-27.1% upside). Target $1191.39 (+3.2%), stop $1077.43 (−7.2%), A.R:R -4.8:1. Stop-loss: $1077.43.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Graham Holdings Company trades at a P/E of 16.9 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
8 analysts cover GHC with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $990.
What does Graham Holdings Company do?Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered...
Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales). In 2025, this unit provided courses to approximately 44,030 students in accountancy, tax and financial services. Kaplan Professional Middle East and North Africa also delivers professional training programs across the entire region with a focus on the UAE and Saudi Arabia.