Graham Holdings combines a strong earnings beat record averaging approximately 19 percentage points above consensus with powerful technical momentum in a breakout configuration, but the stock has substantially overrun analyst consensus estimates and the free cash flow conversion of 70% relative to net income warrants monitoring before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance→Stable
- Technical Breakout With Strong Momentum↓Deteriorating
- Stock Substantially Above Analyst Consensus→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Graham Holdings Company (GHC) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Conglomerates
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1120.60 — A.R:R is negative (-4.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing).
Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales). In 2025, this unit provided courses to approximately 44,030 students in accountancy, tax and financial services. Kaplan Professional... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1120.60 — A.R:R is negative (-4.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Graham Holdings Company
Latest news
- NEWS GHC|Graham Holdings Co|Price:1242.860|Chg%:+8.900 - TradingKey — TradingKey positive
- NEWS GHC|Graham Holdings Co|Price:1203.540|Chg%:-21.210 - TradingKey — TradingKey negative
- NEWS GHC|Graham Holdings Co|Price:1242.860|Chg%:+8.900 - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com positive
- NEWS Graham Holdings Co (GHC) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Graham Holdings Stock Surges 3 Percent Following Kaplan Unit Sale - HarianBasis.co — HarianBasis.co positive
Generated 2026-09-04T15:07:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1120.60 — A.R:R is negative (-4.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $1057.64. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $1198.14 (-24.9% upside). Prior stop was $1057.64. Stop-loss: $1057.64.
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).
Graham Holdings Company trades at a P/E of 9.1 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover GHC with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $990.
What does Graham Holdings Company do?Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered...
Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales). In 2025, this unit provided courses to approximately 44,030 students in accountancy, tax and financial services. Kaplan Professional Middle East and North Africa also delivers professional training programs across the entire region with a focus on the UAE and Saudi Arabia.