Griffon delivers consistent earnings beats and exceptional free cash flow conversion but carries significant leverage, declining revenue, and a risk/reward that does not clear the asymmetry bar at current levels near the 52-week high.
Thesis pillars
- High Leverage Limits Margin Of Safety↓Deteriorating
- Revenue Decline No Moat↑Improving
- Earnings Consistency Steady Beats↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Griffon Corporation (GFF) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Sell if holding. At $104.16, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Near 52-week high (4.1% away).
Griffon Corporation operates through two segments: Home and Building Products (HBP), which through Clopay is North America's largest manufacturer and marketer of garage doors, and Consumer and Professional Products (CPP), a global provider of branded tools, fans, and storage... Read more
Sell if holding. At $104.16, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 94d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Griffon Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Griffon Corp (GFF) Stock Down 3.7% but Still Overvalued -- GF Sc - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Strs Ohio Boosts Stock Holdings in Griffon Corporation $GFF - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS What To Expect From Griffon’s (GFF) Q1 Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Griffon (GFF) exceeds market returns: Some facts to consider - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Griffon Corporation Common Stock (NYSE:GFF) Stock Quote - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:18Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $104.16, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $96.87. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $108.87 (+4.5% upside). Prior stop was $96.87. Stop-loss: $96.87.
Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Near 52-week high (4.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 10.4): -1.5.
Griffon Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.7 (forward 17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover GFF with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $125.
What does Griffon Corporation do?Griffon Corporation operates through two segments: Home and Building Products (HBP), which through Clopay is North...
Griffon Corporation operates through two segments: Home and Building Products (HBP), which through Clopay is North America's largest manufacturer and marketer of garage doors, and Consumer and Professional Products (CPP), a global provider of branded tools, fans, and storage products. HBP contributed approximately 63% of consolidated revenue and CPP approximately 37% for fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, with roughly 5,100 employees across North America, the UK, Australia, and China.