Griffon delivers consistent earnings beats and exceptional free cash flow conversion but carries significant leverage, declining revenue, and a risk/reward that does not clear the asymmetry bar at current levels near the 52-week high.
Thesis pillars
- High Leverage Limits Margin Of Safety→Stable
- Revenue Decline No Moat→Stable
- Earnings Consistency Steady Beats→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Griffon Corporation (GFF) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $99.22 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 10.0%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Griffon Corporation operates through two segments: Home and Building Products (HBP), which through Clopay is North America's largest manufacturer and marketer of garage doors, and Consumer and Professional Products (CPP), a global provider of branded tools, fans, and storage... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $99.22 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 10.0%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Griffon Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Griffon Corp (GFF) Stock Down 3.7% but Still Overvalued -- GF Sc - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Strs Ohio Boosts Stock Holdings in Griffon Corporation $GFF - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS What To Expect From Griffon’s (GFF) Q1 Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Griffon (GFF) exceeds market returns: Some facts to consider - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Griffon Corporation Common Stock (NYSE:GFF) Stock Quote - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
Generated 2026-09-04T19:02:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $99.22 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 10.0%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $94.06. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $109.25 (+10.0% upside). Prior stop was $94.06. Stop-loss: $94.06.
Thin upside margin: 10.0%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 10.4): -1.5.
Griffon Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover GFF with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $126.
What does Griffon Corporation do?Griffon Corporation operates through two segments: Home and Building Products (HBP), which through Clopay is North...
Griffon Corporation operates through two segments: Home and Building Products (HBP), which through Clopay is North America's largest manufacturer and marketer of garage doors, and Consumer and Professional Products (CPP), a global provider of branded tools, fans, and storage products. HBP contributed approximately 63% of consolidated revenue and CPP approximately 37% for fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, with roughly 5,100 employees across North America, the UK, Australia, and China.