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GELGenesis Energy, L.P.Sell5.5·$14.63-3.27%
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Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Genesis Energy is a midstream MLP operating across three segments: offshore pipeline transportation (deepwater Gulf of Mexico), soda ash mining and marketing (Westvaco operations), and marine transportation (inland and offshore barges). It earns fee-based and commodity-sensitive... Read more

$14.63+12.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#24 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.14%
IncomeYield4.76%(5y avg 5.13%)Payout176.47%at-risk
Stop $14.12Target $16.43(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$19.33+32.1%3 analysts
$16.43our TP
$14.63price
$19.33mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Genesis Energy, L.P.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (4)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)20.2
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth12.1%
Beta0.59
Dividend4.76%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.25bearish
IV36%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-09Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Genesis Energy terminated its Seventh Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, replaced in its entirety by an Eighth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement providing a $1.1B revolving credit facility maturing March 9, 2029.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Macd
3.8
Rsi
4.5
Volume
5.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.58K FLAG 1.02A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.56Resistance $16.55

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+12.3%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GEL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.12. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the GEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.43 (+12.3% upside). Prior stop was $14.12. Stop-loss: $14.12.

What are the risks of investing in GEL?

Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4); Negative momentum.

Is GEL overvalued or undervalued?

Genesis Energy, L.P. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GEL?

7 analysts cover GEL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Genesis Energy, L.P. do?Genesis Energy is a midstream MLP operating across three segments: offshore pipeline transportation (deepwater Gulf of...

Genesis Energy is a midstream MLP operating across three segments: offshore pipeline transportation (deepwater Gulf of Mexico), soda ash mining and marketing (Westvaco operations), and marine transportation (inland and offshore barges). It earns fee-based and commodity-sensitive revenues from crude oil, natural gas, and chemical logistics.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · FRO (Frontline Plc)
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