Skip to main content
TKTeekay Corporation Ltd.Hold6.9·$11.20+0.18%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Teekay Corporation combines high quality, an attractive valuation, and strong growth with a flagged cyclical-trap warning, extreme insider selling, and a failed momentum gate, leading the engine to recommend reducing rather than adding to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Growth BusinessStable
  • Cyclical Trap Valuation WarningImproving
  • Extreme Insider SellingStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~62% (cyclical peak); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Teekay Corporation Ltd. provides crude oil marine transportation and other marine services worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Tankers and Marine Services. It owns and operates crude oil and refined product tankers. The company also offers ship-to-ship support... Read more

$11.20-0.4% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#9 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
Stop $10.42Target $11.16(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~62% (cyclical peak); Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value combo with favorable entry timing. | News modifier -2 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~62% (cyclical peak)
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.9
P/E (Fwd)26.0
Mkt Cap$973M
EV/EBITDA4.1
Profit Mgn17.5%
ROE
Rev Growth23.5%
Beta0.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.2
Bollinger
2.1
52w Position
6.8
GatesINSIDER 0.83%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.3>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.80Resistance $11.39

Price Targets

$10
$11
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 26x vs trail 10x (2.6x)
! NEWS_MOD=-2: STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Insider activity: 0.83%=extreme

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~62% (cyclical peak); Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value combo with favorable entry timing. | News modifier -2 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $11.16 (-0.4%), stop $10.42 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.16 (-0.4% upside). Target $11.16 (-0.4%), stop $10.42 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $10.42.

What are the risks of investing in TK?

Earnings expected to decline ~62% (cyclical peak); Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is TK overvalued or undervalued?

Teekay Corporation Ltd. trades at a P/E of 9.9 (forward 26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TK?

9 analysts cover TK with a consensus score of 2.0/5.

What does Teekay Corporation Ltd. do?Teekay Corporation Ltd. provides crude oil marine transportation and other marine services worldwide. The company...

Teekay Corporation Ltd. provides crude oil marine transportation and other marine services worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Tankers and Marine Services. It owns and operates crude oil and refined product tankers. The company also offers ship-to-ship support services; tanker commercial management operation services; technical management; and operational and maintenance marine services. It operates a fleet of 34 double-hull tankers. It serves energy and utility companies, oil traders, oil consumers and petroleum product producers, government agencies, and various other entities that depend upon marine transportation. The company was formerly known as Teekay Corporation and changed its name to Teekay Corporation Ltd. in October 2024. Teekay Corporation Ltd. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.)
Home Stocks TK

Latest news

Latest News

GlobeNewswire10d ago
TradingView17d ago
Yahoo Finance17d ago
TradingView17d ago
Scanx.trade10d ago
The Manila Times11d agoEarnings
Ad Hoc News11d ago
MarketBeat16d ago
The Daily Star6d agoLegal
Dars.gov.et13d ago
The Daily Star13d ago
DonanımHaber14d agoEarnings
Ad-hoc-news.de5d ago
MarketBeat5d ago
The Daily Star12d ago
MarketBeat8d ago
GuruFocus14d ago