Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the GEL stock price target?

Take-profit $16.43 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $15.08.

Q: What are the risks of investing in GEL?

Target reached (2.1% upside); Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0); Target reached (2.1% upside); Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0).

Q: Is GEL overvalued or undervalued?

Genesis Energy, L.P. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about GEL?

7 analysts cover GEL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 4 days ago (May 16, 2026, 5:46 PM ET)

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Genesis Energy is a midstream MLP operating across three segments: offshore pipeline transportation (deepwater Gulf of Mexico), soda ash mining and marketing (Westvaco operations), and marine transportation (inland and offshore barges). It earns fee-based and commodity-sensitive... Read more

$16.09+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#32 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—

IncomeYield4.47%(5y avg 5.16%)Payout176.47%at-risk

Stop $15.08Target $16.43(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.3:1

Analyst target$19.33+20.2%3 analysts

$16.43our TP

$16.09price

$19.33mean

$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.09: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Genesis Energy, L.P.

Latest news

Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on Genesis Energy, Lowers Price Target to $18 — benzinga May 12, 2026 positive
Genesis Energy Q1 EPS $(0.06) Misses $0.16 Estimate, Sales $446.555M Up From $398.311M YoY — benzinga May 7, 2026 negative

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (2.1% upside)

Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)21.5

Mkt Cap$2.0B

EV/EBITDA11.0

Profit Mgn2.1%

ROE13.5%

Rev Growth12.1%

Beta—

Dividend4.47%

Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-09Item 1.02MEDIUM
Genesis Energy terminated its Seventh Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, replaced in its entirety by an Eighth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement providing a $1.1B revolving credit facility maturing March 9, 2029.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.215%1.08

Quality4.415%0.66

Growth5.515%0.82

Momentum4.310%0.43

Sentiment7.010%0.70

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.210%0.52

Technical Setup7.45%0.37

Risk Profile3.05%0.15

Catalyst3.15%0.16

Overall (Σ contributions)5.39

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

0.0

Surprise Avg

0.0

Dividend Safety

3.5

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

News Activity

5.0

Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

38 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.55Resistance $17.42

Price Targets

$15

$16

A.Upside+2.1%

A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.1% upside)

! Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)

! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

0/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-07-30 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GEL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.09: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.08. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.43 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $15.08. Stop-loss: $15.08.

What are the risks of investing in GEL?

Target reached (2.1% upside); Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0).

Is GEL overvalued or undervalued?

Genesis Energy, L.P. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GEL?

7 analysts cover GEL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Genesis Energy, L.P. do?Genesis Energy is a midstream MLP operating across three segments: offshore pipeline transportation (deepwater Gulf of...