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FUTUFutu Holdings LimitedBuy Wait7.2·$96.74-3.38%
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Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitAI GATE: FLAGGED — 3 risks, 1 concernModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Wait for pullback to $91.41. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $96.74. Engine's entry $91.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and... Read more

$96.74+61.9% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#1 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.71%Payout0.00%sustainable
Entry $91.41(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $79.04Target $147.64(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.6:1Setup A.R:R 8.8:1
Analyst target$164.05+69.6%19 analysts
$147.64our TP
$96.74price
$164.05mean
$250

Wait for pullback to $91.41. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $96.74. Engine's entry $91.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
High-quality business
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.6
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$13.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn45.0%
ROE27.8%
Rev Growth28.8%
Beta0.36
Dividend2.71%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$290+199.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $80.50Resistance $131.40

Price Targets

$79
$91
$148
A.Upside+52.6%
A.R:R3.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)8.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! News gate: flagged (3 risks, 1 concerns)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FUTU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $91.41. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $96.74. Engine's entry $91.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $147.64 (+52.6%), stop $79.04 (−22.4%), Setup A.R:R 8.8:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FUTU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $147.64 (+61.9% upside). Target $147.64 (+52.6%), stop $79.04 (−22.4%), Setup A.R:R 8.8:1. Stop-loss: $79.04.

What are the risks of investing in FUTU?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is FUTU overvalued or undervalued?

Futu Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 10.6 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FUTU?

28 analysts cover FUTU with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $164.

What does Futu Holdings Limited do?Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product...

Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and fund distribution services through its Futubull and Moomoo digital platforms. The company also provides financial information and online community services; online wealth management services under the Money Plus brand name through its Futubull and moomoo platforms, which provides its client access to mutual funds, private funds, bonds, structured products, and other wealth management products; market data and information services; and NiuNiu Community, an open forum for users and clients to share insights, ask questions, and exchange ideas. Futu Holdings Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

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