Skip to main content
FPSForgent Power Solutions, Inc.Sell6.1·$30.95+5.20%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Forgent Power Solutions is delivering triple-digit revenue growth but at roughly 50 times forward earnings with the stock already priced above the analyst consensus target and an unfavorable risk-to-reward ratio, making the current setup unattractive for new positions despite the compelling growth profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Expensive Valuation Limits Margin Of SafetyDeteriorating
  • Triple Digit Revenue AccelerationStable
  • Stock Above Analyst Consensus TargetDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $30.95: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include automatic transfer switches (ATS), gear eHouses, generator connection... Read more

$30.95+70.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#6 of 24 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $28.46Target $52.11(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.8:1
Analyst target$59.90+93.5%10 analysts
$52.11our TP
$30.95price
$59.90mean
$73

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $30.95: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 70%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)1471.0
P/E (Fwd)25.2
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA48.3
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE
Rev Growth103.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.36bearish
IV108%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 5.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
12 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $28.24Resistance $40.19

Price Targets

$28
$52
A.Upside+70.3%
A.R:R5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts14
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$60

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for FPS.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FPS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $30.95: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $28.46. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FPS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.11 (+70.3% upside). Prior stop was $28.46. Stop-loss: $28.46.

What are the risks of investing in FPS?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is FPS overvalued or undervalued?

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. trades at a P/E of 1471.0 (forward 25.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FPS?

14 analysts cover FPS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. do?Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the...

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include automatic transfer switches (ATS), gear eHouses, generator connection cabinets, low voltage switchgear, low voltage transformers, medium voltage switchgear, medium voltage VPI transformers, padmount transformers, panelboards, paralleling switchgear, PDU transformers, power distribution units, power skids, remote power panels, substation transformers, switchboards, tap boxes, and UPS eHouses. It also provides maintenance, testing, repair, modernization, start-up and commissioning and aftermarket retrofit services. It serves technology, power, utility and industrial companies. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Dayton, Minnesota.

Related stocks: PLPC (Preformed Line Products Company) · NVT (nVent Electric plc) · AYI (Acuity Inc.) · AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries, Inc) · BE (Bloom Energy Corporation)
Home Stocks FPS

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat37d ago
TradingKey37d ago
Moomoo58d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance108d agoAnalyst
MSN108d ago
Yahoo Finance59d ago
Google31d ago
Smartkarma31d ago
Marketscreener.com31d ago
Marketscreener.com31d ago
Simplywall.st106d ago
Simplywall.st50d ago
GuruFocus50d ago
Investing.com50d ago
StocksToTrade113d ago
Seeking Alpha113d agoEarnings
MSN113d ago
Yahoo Finance29d ago
MarketBeat29d ago
TradingView64d agoAnalyst
Loading more...