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FORMFormFactor, Inc.Hold5.9·$144.00-5.64%
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FormFactor, Inc. (FORM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $144.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

FormFactor designs and manufactures probe cards, probe stations, thermal systems, and cryogenic systems for semiconductor testing across two segments (Probe Cards and Systems). One customer represented 22.9% of fiscal 2025 revenues; probe card sales account for the substantial... Read more

$144.00+8.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#6 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.00%
Stop $130.42Target $151.66(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$144.67+0.5%9 analysts
$151.66our TP
$144.00price
$144.67mean
$64
$175

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $144.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)160.6
P/E (Fwd)54.7
Mkt Cap$11.9B
EV/EBITDA84.6
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth32.0%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.51bullish
IV103%elevated
Max Pain$220+52.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerSK hynix Inc.
    10-K Item 1: 'SK hynix Inc.| 19.2 | %| | 24.5 | %| | 25.0 | %| | 23.3 | %'
  • MEDIUMProductprobe cards
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive the majority of our revenues from the sale of our probe card products'
  • HIGHSuppliersole source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We obtain some of the components and materials used in our products, such as printed circuit board assemblies, plating materials and ceramic substrates, from a sole source'
  • LOWGeographicChina7.0%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 7% of our fiscal 2025 revenue and 14% of our fiscal 2024 revenue was derived from sales to customers in China'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    At the May 15, 2026 Annual Meeting, FormFactor stockholders approved an amendment to the 2012 Equity Incentive Plan increasing shares reserved for issuance by 5,000,000. Compensatory arrangement update; no officer departure or new appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ps
0.6
Forward Pe
2.1
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 54.7xPEG: 0.24
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $112.31Resistance $154.76

Price Targets

$130
$152
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FORM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $144.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $151.66 (+5.3%), stop $130.42 (−10.4%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FORM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $151.66 (+8.1% upside). Target $151.66 (+5.3%), stop $130.42 (−10.4%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $130.42.

What are the risks of investing in FORM?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

Is FORM overvalued or undervalued?

FormFactor, Inc. trades at a P/E of 160.6 (forward 54.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FORM?

16 analysts cover FORM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $145.

What does FormFactor, Inc. do?FormFactor designs and manufactures probe cards, probe stations, thermal systems, and cryogenic systems for...

FormFactor designs and manufactures probe cards, probe stations, thermal systems, and cryogenic systems for semiconductor testing across two segments (Probe Cards and Systems). One customer represented 22.9% of fiscal 2025 revenues; probe card sales account for the substantial majority of revenues from foundry & logic and memory manufacturers.

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