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FGF&G Annuities & Life, Inc.Sell5.6·$24.87+3.75%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This life insurer trades at a remarkably low 5.6x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.17 against 31% revenue growth and 216% free cash flow conversion, placing it among the most attractively valued growth franchises in the sector; however, the two most recent quarters both missed estimates, short interest is elevated at 13%, and the stock has already reached its analyst price target, making the bull case contingent on re-establishing earnings delivery.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Against Strong GrowthStable
  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthStable
  • Exceptional Free Cash ConversionStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. (FG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).

F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed annuities, indexed universal life, and pension risk transfer, serving 778,000 policyholders and 145,000 pension participants at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes... Read more

$24.87-7.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#12 of 16 Insurance - Life
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield69.67%
IncomeYield4.02%Payout31.91%sustainable
Stop $23.13Target $28.82(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$27.00+8.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 47%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.9
P/E (Fwd)5.1
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA3.8
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta1.27
Dividend4.02%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C4.88bearish
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductFIAs46%
    10-K Item 1: 'FIAs generated approximately 46% of our gross sales'
  • MEDIUMGeographictop five states (CA, FL, PA, TX, NJ)40%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top five states for the distribution of our products were California, Florida, Pennsylvania, Texas and New Jersey, which together accounted for 40% of our premiums'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyAspida Re
    10-K Item 1A: 'Aspida Re, Wilton Re, Somerset and Everlake represent our largest third-party reinsurance counterparty exposures'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
7.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend aristocrat: 4.0% yield
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.18Resistance $29.41

Price Targets

$23
$29
A.Upside-7.7%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.7% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.13. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.82 (-7.7% upside). Prior stop was $23.13. Stop-loss: $23.13.

What are the risks of investing in FG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is FG overvalued or undervalued?

F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.9 (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FG?

10 analysts cover FG with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. do?F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed...

F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed annuities, indexed universal life, and pension risk transfer, serving 778,000 policyholders and 145,000 pension participants at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from spread-based earnings on $57.6 billion in AUM and growing fee-based income from flow reinsurance and owned distribution. FGL Insurance's estimated RBC ratio was approximately 430% at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: BHF (Brighthouse Financial, Inc.) · LNC (Lincoln National Corporation) · ABX (Abacus Global Management, Inc.) · PRI (Primerica, Inc.) · GNW (Genworth Financial Inc)
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