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FGF&G Annuities & Life, Inc.Sell6.8·$28.38+1.57%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This life insurer trades at a remarkably low 5.6x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.17 against 31% revenue growth and 216% free cash flow conversion, placing it among the most attractively valued growth franchises in the sector; however, the two most recent quarters both missed estimates, short interest is elevated at 13%, and the stock has already reached its analyst price target, making the bull case contingent on re-establishing earnings delivery.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Against Strong GrowthStable
  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthStable
  • Exceptional Free Cash ConversionStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. (FG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.38 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed annuities, indexed universal life, and pension risk transfer, serving 778,000 policyholders and 145,000 pension participants at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes... Read more

$28.38+0.8% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#2 of 16 Insurance - Life
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield31.20%
IncomeYield3.58%Payout24.35%sustainable
Stop $26.44Target $28.61(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$27.00-4.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.38 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Margin of safety: 52%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.2
P/E (Fwd)5.4
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA4.0
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth30.7%
Beta1.30
Dividend3.58%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductFIAs46%
    10-K Item 1: 'FIAs generated approximately 46% of our gross sales'
  • MEDIUMGeographictop five states (CA, FL, PA, TX, NJ)40%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top five states for the distribution of our products were California, Florida, Pennsylvania, Texas and New Jersey, which together accounted for 40% of our premiums'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyAspida Re
    10-K Item 1A: 'Aspida Re, Wilton Re, Somerset and Everlake represent our largest third-party reinsurance counterparty exposures'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesA.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $26.12Resistance $29.19

Price Targets

$26
$29
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.38 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $26.44. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.61 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $26.44. Stop-loss: $26.44.

What are the risks of investing in FG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is FG overvalued or undervalued?

F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.2 (forward 5.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FG?

10 analysts cover FG with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. do?F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed...

F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed annuities, indexed universal life, and pension risk transfer, serving 778,000 policyholders and 145,000 pension participants at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from spread-based earnings on $57.6 billion in AUM and growing fee-based income from flow reinsurance and owned distribution. FGL Insurance's estimated RBC ratio was approximately 430% at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: ABX (Abacus Global Management, Inc.) · PRI (Primerica, Inc.) · PUK (Prudential Public Limited Compa) · LNC (Lincoln National Corporation) · GL (Globe Life Inc.)
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