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F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. (FG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aspida Re.

F&G Annuities & Life is a fixed annuity and life insurance company with $57.6 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, serving approximately 778,000 policyholders and 145,000 pension risk transfer plan participants. It earns spread-based income from fixed indexed annuities,... Read more

$28.27+0.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 15 Insurance - Life
Stop $26.75Target $28.41(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$27.00-4.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aspida Re. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 90. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aspida Re
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.1
P/E (Fwd)4.7
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE6.0%
Rev Growth13.2%
Beta1.34
Dividend3.52%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$20-29.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyAspida Re
    10-K Item 1A: 'net amount recoverable from Aspida, Somerset, Everlake and Wilton Re were $8,589 million, $5,071 million, $1,868 million and $1,032 million, respectively'
  • MEDIUMGeographictop five states40%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top five states for the distribution of our products were California, Florida, Pennsylvania, Texas and New Jersey, which together accounted for 40% of our premiums'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.4
Bollinger
1.9
52w Position
5.7
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
90 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $23.79Resistance $28.99

Price Targets

$27
$28
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aspida Re. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 90. Prior stop was $26.75. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.41 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $26.75. Stop-loss: $26.75.

What are the risks of investing in FG?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aspida Re; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is FG overvalued or undervalued?

F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 4.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FG?

10 analysts cover FG with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. do?F&G Annuities & Life is a fixed annuity and life insurance company with $57.6 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025,...

F&G Annuities & Life is a fixed annuity and life insurance company with $57.6 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, serving approximately 778,000 policyholders and 145,000 pension risk transfer plan participants. It earns spread-based income from fixed indexed annuities, MYGAs, and pension risk transfer, distributed through IMOs, banks, broker-dealers, and institutional channels, with $14.6 billion in gross sales in 2025.

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