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Brighthouse Financial, Inc. (BHF) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.36: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality.

Brighthouse Financial is one of the largest U.S. annuity and life insurance providers with 2.0M+ contracts/policies and $206B in AUM at December 31, 2025, organized into Annuities, Life, Run-off, and Corporate & Other segments. Revenue is driven by fees on variable annuity... Read more

$62.36-1.1% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#15 of 15 Insurance - Life
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-14.63%
Stop $60.94Target $61.69(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$65.00+4.2%6 analysts
$61.69our TP
$62.36price
$65.00mean
$55
$70

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.36: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Brighthouse Financial, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-9.3% upside)
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)3.2
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-1.1%
ROE-1.1%
Rev Growth-36.2%
Beta0.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV45%normal
Max Pain$35-43.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -36.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -36%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
1.1
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -9% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.7
Value Rank
7.1
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $60.80Resistance $62.95

Price Targets

$61
$62
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BHF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.36: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $60.94. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BHF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.69 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $60.94. Stop-loss: $60.94.

What are the risks of investing in BHF?

Target reached (-9.3% upside); Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is BHF overvalued or undervalued?

Brighthouse Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 3.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BHF?

14 analysts cover BHF with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Brighthouse Financial, Inc. do?Brighthouse Financial is one of the largest U.S. annuity and life insurance providers with 2.0M+ contracts/policies and...

Brighthouse Financial is one of the largest U.S. annuity and life insurance providers with 2.0M+ contracts/policies and $206B in AUM at December 31, 2025, organized into Annuities, Life, Run-off, and Corporate & Other segments. Revenue is driven by fees on variable annuity account values and Shield Annuity deposits ($8.7B in 2025); a merger with Aquarian Parent is pending (stockholder-approved February 2026).

Related stocks: FG (F&G Annuities & Life, Inc.) · PRI (Primerica, Inc.) · LNC (Lincoln National Corporation) · GL (Globe Life Inc.) · UNM (Unum Group)