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JXNJackson Financial Inc.Sell4.8·$109.78+0.12%
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Jackson Financial Inc. (JXN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Sell if holding. At $109.78, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Athene reinsurance; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Prudential plc and affiliates (PPM clients) (32.0%).

Jackson Financial provides retail annuities (variable, RILA, fixed, fixed index) and institutional products to U.S. retirement investors through ~500 broker-dealer partners and 2,100+ RIA firms. With $23.2B in total 2025 sales and $351B AUM, it is the seventh-largest U.S. retail... Read more

$109.78-0.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#12 of 15 Insurance - Life
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.03%
IncomeYield3.28%Payout43.36%sustainable
Stop $104.28Target $109.59(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$123.25+12.3%4 analysts
$109.59our TP
$109.78price
$123.25mean
$136

Sell if holding. At $109.78, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Athene reinsurance; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Prudential plc and affiliates (PPM clients) (32.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Jackson Financial Inc.

About Jackson Financial Inc.

Jackson Financial managed $351 billion in assets under management at year-end 2025, generating $19.7 billion in total retail annuity sales across variable, registered index-linked, fixed index, fixed, and payout product lines—all distributed exclusively in the United States through approximately 500 broker-dealer partners and more than 2,100 RIA firms. The principal insurance subsidiaries, licensed in all 50 states, are subject to state insurance department oversight; Jackson National Life Insurance Company reported a statutory risk-based capital ratio of 567% on a Company Action Level basis in 2025.

Jackson Financial earns revenue from three primary streams: fee income calculated as a percentage of $257.3 billion in separate-account assets managed by wholly-owned JNAM; investment spread income from fixed annuities and institutional products ($3.5 billion in new institutional product sales and $11.0 billion in account value in 2025); and insurance premiums from the Closed Life and Annuity Blocks segment, which held $20.1 billion in total reserves at year-end 2025. The company deployed $634 million to share repurchases and paid $228 million in common dividends in 2025, generating $838 million in free cash flow. PPM, the investment management subsidiary managing $93.7 billion in total assets, earned 32% of its AUM from former parent Prudential plc and its affiliates—agreements terminable at any time by either party.

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Two single-counterparty exposures stand out in the 10-K. The reinsurance agreement with Athene covers the majority of in-force fixed and fixed index annuities, creating what the filing characterizes as a large concentration of credit risk with a single reinsurer. Separately, the Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis serves as a significant institutional funding source; if FHLBI changes eligible collateral definitions or the company's creditworthiness falls below membership standards, replacement funding may prove difficult and could weigh on liquidity.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Life

From Jackson Financial Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Athene reinsurance
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Prudential plc and affiliates (PPM clients) (32.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)4.2
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-6.3%
ROE-3.2%
Rev Growth-22.6%
Beta1.33
Dividend3.28%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.84neutral
IV48%normal
Max Pain$145+32.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyAthene reinsurance
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our reinsurance agreement with Athene involves the majority of our in force fixed annuities and fixed index annuities, thereby exposing us to a large concentration of credit risk with respect to a single counterparty.'
  • HIGHcounterpartyPrudential plc and affiliates (PPM clients)32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our former parent, Prudential plc, and its affiliates are significant clients of PPM, representing $29.8 billion or 32% of PPM's total assets under management.'
  • HIGHcounterpartyFederal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are subject to liquidity risks associated with sourcing a large concentration of our funding from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOW
    Christopher Raub became President and CEO of PPM America subsidiary on April 9, 2026. CEO Laura Prieskorn resumed President role at Jackson National Life simultaneously; Raub ceased that position. No officer departures from the parent company.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -22.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -23%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
3.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.3
Support Resistance
1.9
52w Position
8.1
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $100.84Resistance $111.83

Price Targets

$104
$110
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JXN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $109.78, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Athene reinsurance; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Prudential plc and affiliates (PPM clients) (32.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $104.28. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JXN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $109.59 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $104.28. Stop-loss: $104.28.

What are the risks of investing in JXN?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Athene reinsurance; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Prudential plc and affiliates (PPM clients) (32.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is JXN overvalued or undervalued?

Jackson Financial Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 4.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JXN?

8 analysts cover JXN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $123.

What does Jackson Financial Inc. do?Jackson Financial provides retail annuities (variable, RILA, fixed, fixed index) and institutional products to U.S....

Jackson Financial provides retail annuities (variable, RILA, fixed, fixed index) and institutional products to U.S. retirement investors through ~500 broker-dealer partners and 2,100+ RIA firms. With $23.2B in total 2025 sales and $351B AUM, it is the seventh-largest U.S. retail annuity company. Variable annuities dominate the portfolio, with GMWB for Life benefits representing 72% of variable annuity account value.

Related stocks: AFL (AFLAC Incorporated) · FG (F&G Annuities & Life, Inc.) · PRI (Primerica, Inc.) · PUK (Prudential Public Limited Compa) · MFC (Manulife Financial Corporation)
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