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FEIMFrequency Electronics, Inc.Sell3.6·$78.73+0.83%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

FEIM faces a 3-of-4 earnings miss streak with an earnings-quality red flag and declining revenue against a rich valuation, and has already reached its price target ahead of a 5-day earnings event, though the stock remains technically oversold within an intact 200-day uptrend.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline With Rich ValuationStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • Earnings Quality Red FlagStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Frequency Electronics, Inc. (FEIM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.73: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Frequency Electronics designs and manufactures precision time and frequency generation technology for satellites, C4ISR, and electronic warfare systems, operating through two segments — FEI-NY (satellite and DOD electronics, 76% of fiscal 2025 revenue) and FEI-Zyfer (GPS-based... Read more

$78.73-12.5% A.UpsideScore 3.6/10#24 of 25 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.43%
Stop $73.22Target $90.54(default +15%)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$81.00+2.9%2 analysts
$90.54our TP
$78.73price
$81.00mean
$77
$91

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.73: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Frequency Electronics, Inc.

About Frequency Electronics, Inc.

Frequency Electronics drew approximately 94% of fiscal 2025 sales from contracts to, or subcontracts for, the U.S. Government, with the FEI-NY segment contributing 76% of consolidated revenue and FEI-Zyfer the remaining 27%. Foreign sales, concentrated in Europe and Asia, made up just 6% of revenue, and the company funded $6.1 million of self-directed R&D across a workforce of 226 U.S.-based employees.

Frequency Electronics sells under both fixed-price contracts, where it bears the risk of cost overruns and keeps the benefit of savings, and cost-plus contracts that reimburse actual costs, typically as a subcontractor to prime defense contractors or directly to U.S. Government agencies. Consolidated backlog stood at approximately $70 million as of April 30, 2025, down from $78 million a year earlier, with about 64% expected to convert to revenue in fiscal 2026. FEI-Zyfer alone derives more than 95% of its revenue from end users that are the U.S. Government. The company's principal customers double as its principal competitors for space products -- Boeing, Northrop Grumman, and Lockheed Martin all maintain in-house alternatives -- while Microchip Technology and Mercury Systems compete on terrestrial and electronic-warfare products. Although the company says it maintains alternative sources for most materials, FEI-NY depends on a limited number of suppliers for space-qualified parts, a narrower sourcing base than its general procurement.

Show full overview

Frequency Electronics' customer base swung from four named counterparties above the 10%-of-revenue threshold in fiscal 2024 -- Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, the Office of Naval Research, and BAE Systems -- down to just one, Northrop Grumman, in fiscal 2025, illustrating how concentrated and volatile the company's revenue mix can be year to year even while the overall U.S. Government share of sales stayed above 90%. That dependence is not merely theoretical: two government end-use contracts were terminated during fiscal 2025, and the 10-K states plainly that the loss of any single major customer could have a material adverse effect on the business, since government programs remain subject to cancellation or delay tied to annual appropriations cycles rather than long-term commitments.

See also: Technology · Communication Equipment

From Frequency Electronics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 2, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 10, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (prime + subcontracts) (94.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: FEI-Zyfer segment — U.S. Government end users (95.0%)
Target reached (-12.5% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)50.5
Mkt Cap$863M
EV/EBITDA253.7
Profit Mgn-1.4%
ROE-1.6%
Rev Growth-23.0%
Beta0.66
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV99%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. Government (prime + subcontracts)94%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 94% and 98%, respectively, of the Company's sales were made under contracts to the U.S. Government or subcontracts for U.S. Government end-use.'
  • LOWCustomerNorthrop Grumman
    10-K Item 1: 'During fiscal year 2025, Northrop Grumman Company (“Northrop Grumman”) accounted for more than 10% of the Company's consolidated revenues.'
  • HIGHCustomerFEI-Zyfer segment — U.S. Government end users95%
    10-K Item 1: 'More than 95% of FEI-Zyfer's revenues are derived from sales where the end user is the U.S. Government.'
  • HIGHProductFEI-NY segment76%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 76% and 73%, respectively, of the Company's consolidated revenues were from products sold by the FEI-NY segment.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierspace-qualified parts suppliers (FEI-NY)
    10-K Item 1: 'FEI-NY is dependent on a limited number of suppliers for space qualified parts.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -23.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -23%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Value Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
2.7

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.5
Gross Margin
3.0
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
7.9
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.9
Forward Pe
2.3
Peg Ratio
7.8
Forward P/E: 50.5xPEG: 0.87
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 4.35%=EXTREMEMomentum 6.9>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.89Resistance $80.60

Price Targets

$73
$91
A.Upside-12.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.3%), Material insider selling (14 sells, 0.06% of cap)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-10 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FEIM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.73: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $73.22. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

What is the FEIM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $90.54 (-12.5% upside). Prior stop was $73.22. Stop-loss: $73.22.

What are the risks of investing in FEIM?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (prime + subcontracts) (94.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: FEI-Zyfer segment — U.S. Government end users (95.0%); Target reached (-12.5% upside).

Is FEIM overvalued or undervalued?

Frequency Electronics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 50.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FEIM?

8 analysts cover FEIM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Frequency Electronics, Inc. do?Frequency Electronics designs and manufactures precision time and frequency generation technology for satellites,...

Frequency Electronics designs and manufactures precision time and frequency generation technology for satellites, C4ISR, and electronic warfare systems, operating through two segments — FEI-NY (satellite and DOD electronics, 76% of fiscal 2025 revenue) and FEI-Zyfer (GPS-based precision timing, where over 95% of revenue comes from U.S. Government end users). The company derived approximately 94% of fiscal 2025 sales from U.S. Government contracts or subcontracts, with Northrop Grumman its only customer exceeding 10% of consolidated revenue.

Related stocks: GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) · DGII (Digi International Inc.) · NTGR (NETGEAR, Inc.) · ONDS (Ondas Inc) · ADTN (ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.)
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