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FCNFTI Consulting, Inc.Hold5.8·$159.79+1.49%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

FTI Consulting has demonstrated consistent earnings outperformance in three of the last four quarters, but a confirmed price downtrend, a death cross technical breakdown, and a near-exhausted take-profit target combine to make the current reward-to-risk geometry unattractive for new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Track RecordStable
  • Confirmed Price DowntrendImproving
  • Exhausted Reward Risk GeometryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Consulting Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $159.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (20%), Economic Consulting (19%), Technology (10%), and Strategic Communications (10%)—with 63% of revenues from U.S.-based... Read more

$159.79-8.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 8 Consulting Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.73%
Stop $150.61Target $163.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$172.00+7.6%2 analysts
$163.91our TP
$159.79price
$172.00mean
$180

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $159.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About FTI Consulting, Inc.

About FTI Consulting, Inc.

Corporate Finance—the largest of FTI Consulting's five segments—accounted for 41% of consolidated 2025 revenues, followed by Forensic and Litigation Consulting at 20%, Economic Consulting at 19%, Technology at 10%, and Strategic Communications at 10%. U.S.-based professionals generated 63% of total revenues in 2025, with the remaining 37% from international locations across 26 countries. The firm employed 6,421 billable professionals at December 31, 2025, organized across 104 offices worldwide.

FTI Consulting charges fees primarily on hourly or time-and-materials terms, with fixed-fee and success-fee arrangements available for complex mandates. The Corporate Finance segment earns advisory fees tied to restructuring, transactions, and enterprise transformation—demand that tends to rise in periods of credit stress or elevated M&A activity. The Forensic and Litigation Consulting segment serves boards, law firms, and regulated industries including healthcare and financial services in disputes and investigations. Economic Consulting, which includes subsidiary Compass Lexecon LLC, provides antitrust and competition analysis, financial economics, and international arbitration support. The Technology segment earns fees on e-discovery, information governance, AI-related legal services, and blockchain and digital asset matters; the 10-K notes this segment faces significant competition from consulting and software providers specializing in e-discovery, as well as downward pricing pressure. Strategic Communications handles financial and crisis communications including restructuring and public affairs. The 10-K states that results depend on the types, complexity, size, and timing of engagements, with no single client representing a disclosed material revenue share.

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FTI Consulting's revenue mix carries built-in cyclical offsets: the 10-K states that the restructuring practice tends to experience highest demand during periods when market and industry conditions are less favorable for many businesses, while M&A-related services in Technology and fee-contingent mandates in Economic Consulting may weaken in those same periods. The Corporate Finance segment at 41% of revenues is the company's single largest revenue pool; if M&A activity contracts without a corresponding surge in restructuring, the offset is asymmetric. The company acknowledges this risk explicitly—stating that the positive effects of certain events or factors on certain segments and practices may not be sufficient to overcome the negative effects of those same events or factors on other parts of the business.

See also: Industrials · Consulting Services

From FTI Consulting, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.7
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE14.0%
Rev Growth9.5%
Beta-0.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.11bearish
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $140.80Resistance $167.26

Price Targets

$151
$164
A.Upside-8.5%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $159.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $163.91 (+2.6%), stop $150.61 (−6.1%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $163.91 (-8.5% upside). Target $163.91 (+2.6%), stop $150.61 (−6.1%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $150.61.

What are the risks of investing in FCN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Below 200-day MA.

Is FCN overvalued or undervalued?

FTI Consulting, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FCN?

8 analysts cover FCN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $172.

What does FTI Consulting, Inc. do?FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic...

FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (20%), Economic Consulting (19%), Technology (10%), and Strategic Communications (10%)—with 63% of revenues from U.S.-based professionals and 6,421 billable headcount at year-end 2025. Clients include Fortune 500 corporations, major law firms, and governments engaged on crisis, transformation, restructuring, and dispute matters.

Related stocks: HURN (Huron Consulting Group Inc.) · ICFI (ICF International, Inc.) · BAH (Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor) · EFX (Equifax, Inc.) · VRSK (Verisk Analytics, Inc.)
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