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FCNFTI Consulting, Inc.Sell5.4·$153.59+2.81%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

FTI Consulting has demonstrated consistent earnings outperformance in three of the last four quarters, but a confirmed price downtrend, a death cross technical breakdown, and a near-exhausted take-profit target combine to make the current reward-to-risk geometry unattractive for new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Track RecordStable
  • Confirmed Price DowntrendStable
  • Exhausted Reward Risk GeometryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Consulting Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $153.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (20%), Economic Consulting (19%), Technology (10%), and Strategic Communications (10%)—with 63% of revenues from U.S.-based... Read more

$153.59+4.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#4 of 8 Consulting Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.92%
Stop $142.84Target $159.81(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$174.50+13.6%2 analysts
$159.81our TP
$153.59price
$174.50mean
$180

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $153.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About FTI Consulting, Inc.

About FTI Consulting, Inc.

Corporate Finance—the largest of FTI Consulting's five segments—accounted for 41% of consolidated 2025 revenues, followed by Forensic and Litigation Consulting at 20%, Economic Consulting at 19%, Technology at 10%, and Strategic Communications at 10%. U.S.-based professionals generated 63% of total revenues in 2025, with the remaining 37% from international locations across 26 countries. The firm employed 6,421 billable professionals at December 31, 2025, organized across 104 offices worldwide.

FTI Consulting charges fees primarily on hourly or time-and-materials terms, with fixed-fee and success-fee arrangements available for complex mandates. The Corporate Finance segment earns advisory fees tied to restructuring, transactions, and enterprise transformation—demand that tends to rise in periods of credit stress or elevated M&A activity. The Forensic and Litigation Consulting segment serves boards, law firms, and regulated industries including healthcare and financial services in disputes and investigations. Economic Consulting, which includes subsidiary Compass Lexecon LLC, provides antitrust and competition analysis, financial economics, and international arbitration support. The Technology segment earns fees on e-discovery, information governance, AI-related legal services, and blockchain and digital asset matters; the 10-K notes this segment faces significant competition from consulting and software providers specializing in e-discovery, as well as downward pricing pressure. Strategic Communications handles financial and crisis communications including restructuring and public affairs. The 10-K states that results depend on the types, complexity, size, and timing of engagements, with no single client representing a disclosed material revenue share.

Show full overview

FTI Consulting's revenue mix carries built-in cyclical offsets: the 10-K states that the restructuring practice tends to experience highest demand during periods when market and industry conditions are less favorable for many businesses, while M&A-related services in Technology and fee-contingent mandates in Economic Consulting may weaken in those same periods. The Corporate Finance segment at 41% of revenues is the company's single largest revenue pool; if M&A activity contracts without a corresponding surge in restructuring, the offset is asymmetric. The company acknowledges this risk explicitly—stating that the positive effects of certain events or factors on certain segments and practices may not be sufficient to overcome the negative effects of those same events or factors on other parts of the business.

See also: Industrials · Consulting Services

From FTI Consulting, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.3
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE14.0%
Rev Growth9.5%
Beta-0.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $137.65Resistance $163.07

Price Targets

$143
$160
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $153.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $142.84. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $159.81 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $142.84. Stop-loss: $142.84.

What are the risks of investing in FCN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is FCN overvalued or undervalued?

FTI Consulting, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.3 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FCN?

8 analysts cover FCN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $175.

What does FTI Consulting, Inc. do?FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic...

FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (20%), Economic Consulting (19%), Technology (10%), and Strategic Communications (10%)—with 63% of revenues from U.S.-based professionals and 6,421 billable headcount at year-end 2025. Clients include Fortune 500 corporations, major law firms, and governments engaged on crisis, transformation, restructuring, and dispute matters.

Related stocks: HURN (Huron Consulting Group Inc.) · EFX (Equifax, Inc.) · ICFI (ICF International, Inc.) · VRSK (Verisk Analytics, Inc.) · BAH (Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor)
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