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FCFSFirstCash Holdings, Inc.Hold6.2·$219.81-1.77%
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FirstCash Holdings, Inc. (FCFS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $219.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

FirstCash Holdings operates 3,330 pawn stores across the U.S. (1,207), Latin America (1,837), and U.K. (286 stores added via the August 2025 H&T acquisition), the largest operator of large format, full-service pawn stores in those markets. Revenue splits across pawn loan fees... Read more

$219.81+4.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#12 of 29 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.94%
IncomeYield0.75%(5y avg 1.30%)Payout20.55%sustainable
Stop $204.42Target $230.33(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$241.40+9.8%5 analysts
$230.33our TP
$219.81price
$241.40mean
$252

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $219.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About FirstCash Holdings, Inc.

About FirstCash Holdings, Inc.

Pawn loan fees generated 46% of FirstCash Holdings' consolidated net revenue in 2025, with merchandise sales gross profit contributing 39% and American First Finance (AFF) retail POS payment solutions adding 15%, across a 3,330-store network spanning 29 U.S. states, 32 Mexican states, and the U.K. The August 2025 acquisition of H&T—the U.K.'s largest pawnbroker with 286 stores—established a new U.K. reporting segment, bringing total store count to 3,330 as of December 31, 2025.

FirstCash earns pawn loan fees on non-recourse collateralized loans, with average loan amounts of $312 in the U.S., $112 in Latin America, and $825 in the U.K. per transaction at December 31, 2025. Forfeited collateral converts directly into merchandise inventory, linking lending volume to retail supply; pawn loan balances typically grow in the third and fourth quarters, with retail sales peaking in Q4 from holiday shopping. The AFF segment facilitates lease-to-own products (43% of 2025 gross transaction volume), bank-originated installment loans (45%), and retail installment sales agreements (12%) through a network of merchant partners, using a proprietary decisioning platform that evaluates applicants using data beyond traditional credit scores. The 10-K notes the pawn industry in the U.S. has an estimated 12,000 to 14,000 total pawnshops and 8,000 to 9,000 in Mexico—a fragmented market where FirstCash is the largest public or private operator of large format stores.

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Mexico hosts 1,732 of the 1,837 Latin America stores and represents FirstCash's largest single-country operation outside the U.S., subject to currency and regulatory risk. The 10-K discloses that fluctuations in currency exchange rates in most Latin American markets may cause financial results to change significantly, and notes that the Mexican government operates competing pawnshops through government-sponsored foundations—with the risk that regulatory or administrative actions could harm competitive positioning in Mexico. In the U.K., federal regulations mandate a six-month pawn loan term plus a two-month grace period, a structural difference from U.S. and Latin America terms that affects capital management for the newly integrated H&T stores.

See also: Financial Services · Credit Services

From FirstCash Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.0
P/E (Fwd)18.0
Mkt Cap$9.8B
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE16.3%
Rev Growth25.7%
Beta0.53
Dividend0.75%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$250+13.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $205.00Resistance $235.03

Price Targets

$204
$230
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCFS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $219.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $230.33 (+4.8%), stop $204.42 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $230.33 (+4.8% upside). Target $230.33 (+4.8%), stop $204.42 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $204.42.

What are the risks of investing in FCFS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is FCFS overvalued or undervalued?

FirstCash Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.0 (forward 18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FCFS?

13 analysts cover FCFS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $241.

What does FirstCash Holdings, Inc. do?FirstCash Holdings operates 3,330 pawn stores across the U.S. (1,207), Latin America (1,837), and U.K. (286 stores...

FirstCash Holdings operates 3,330 pawn stores across the U.S. (1,207), Latin America (1,837), and U.K. (286 stores added via the August 2025 H&T acquisition), the largest operator of large format, full-service pawn stores in those markets. Revenue splits across pawn loan fees (46% of 2025 net revenue), merchandise sales gross profit (39%), and AFF retail POS payment solutions (15%), serving unbanked and credit-constrained consumers.

Related stocks: ECPG (Encore Capital Group Inc) · ENVA (Enova International, Inc.) · EZPW (EZCORP, Inc.) · SEZL (Sezzle Inc.) · ALLY (Ally Financial Inc.)
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