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FCELFuelCell Energy, Inc.Sell3.4·$27.86-12.64%
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FuelCell Energy, Inc. (FCEL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.86: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

FuelCell Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, production, construction, operation, and servicing of high temperature fuel cells for clean electric power generation. The company engages in the provision of carbonate fuel cell... Read more

$27.86+32.1% A.UpsideScore 3.4/10#24 of 24 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-0.88%
Stop $26.14Target $37.12(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$22.00-21.0%6 analysts
$37.12our TP
$27.86price
$22.00mean
$8
$37

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.86: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 3.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — FuelCell Energy, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-05T12:40:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 9, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-31.9% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-21.7
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA-23.5
Profit Mgn-132.4%
ROE-30.7%
Rev Growth-4.9%
Beta2.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV173%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
2.6

Revenue shrinking — -4.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.3
Declining revenue: -5%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -132.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -10% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
2.5
Analyst Target
3.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.06Resistance $37.88

Price Targets

$26
$37
A.Upside+33.2%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-31.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-09 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCEL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.86: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $26.14. Score 3.4/10, high confidence.

What is the FCEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.12 (+32.1% upside). Prior stop was $26.14. Stop-loss: $26.14.

What are the risks of investing in FCEL?

Target reached (-31.9% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is FCEL overvalued or undervalued?

FuelCell Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -21.7). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FCEL?

13 analysts cover FCEL with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $22.

What does FuelCell Energy, Inc. do?FuelCell Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, production, construction,...

FuelCell Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, production, construction, operation, and servicing of high temperature fuel cells for clean electric power generation. The company engages in the provision of carbonate fuel cell technology; and commercialization of solid oxide electrolysis technology for distributed hydrogen. It also offers carbonate fuel cell products in various configurations and applications of its platform, including on-site power, grid support, and microgrid; carbon capture, recovery, and utilization technologies; and carbonate-based Tri-gen system that produces zero-carbon hydrogen. In addition, the company sells electricity, heat, steam, capacity, and renewable energy credits. In addition, the company provides turn-key solutions, including development, engineering, procurement, construction, interconnection, and operation services for fuel cell projects. It serves utilities and independent power producers, data centers, wastewater treatment, commercial and hospitality, and microgrids; and industrial, commercial, municipal, and government customers, including manufacturing facilities, pharmaceutical processing facilities, universities, and healthcare facilities. The company primarily operates in the United States, South Korea, Europe, and Canada. FuelCell Energy, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, Connecticut.

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