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FAFFirst American Corporation (NewHold6.7·$69.48-1.39%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

First American offers a rare combination of quality-franchise characteristics — wide economic moat, 254% free-cash-flow-to-net-income conversion, and four consecutive earnings beats averaging roughly 23% positive surprise — at a forward multiple of 9.1 times earnings with a PEG ratio of 0.13; the only near-term constraint is momentum sitting just below the threshold for a clean entry, which argues for patient accumulation on pullbacks rather than aggressive sizing at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Quality FranchiseStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Exceptional Fcf ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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First American Corporation (New (FAF) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $69.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

First American Financial Corporation provides title insurance and settlement services through its title insurance and services segment, which contributed 93.6% of 2025 consolidated revenues. Policies are distributed via direct operations and independent agents across all 49... Read more

$69.48+7.2% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#3 of 13 Insurance - Specialty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield24.18%
IncomeYield3.17%(5y avg 3.41%)Payout33.69%sustainable
Stop $65.44Target $74.47(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$85.60+23.2%5 analysts
$74.47our TP
$69.48price
$85.60mean
$95

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $69.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About First American Corporation (New

About First American Corporation (New

First American Financial Corporation derived 93.6% of consolidated revenues in 2025 from its title insurance and services segment, which issues policies across all 49 states permitting title insurance, the District of Columbia, and internationally through direct operations in Canada, the United Kingdom, South Korea, Australia, and New Zealand. The company employed 19,102 people at December 31, 2025, with 12,143 in the United States and 6,959 outside. International operations accounted for approximately 7.6% of title insurance and services segment revenues in 2025.

First American earns revenue from premiums collected at closing plus ancillary escrow, settlement, and closing fees, with volume correlating directly to real estate transaction counts, interest rate levels, and home affordability. Policies flow through both a direct channel (captive sales representatives) and an agency channel (independent agents who retain a portion of collected premium and remit the remainder to First American as compensation for risk transfer). Major national competitors named in the 10-K include Fidelity National Financial, Inc., Old Republic International Corporation, and Stewart Title Guaranty Company. The home warranty segment, operating in 36 states, sells residential service contracts covering HVAC systems and appliances, with revenue tied to residential purchase volume. The company's federal savings bank subsidiary supplements earnings by investing escrow and trust deposits in fixed income securities, with the bank holding $6.8 billion in assets and $6.2 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025.

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First American's federal savings bank deposits consist primarily of funds held in trust pending real estate transaction closings rather than core retail deposits. When interest rates are elevated, net interest income from this transactional float supplements title premium earnings; during periods of declining transaction volumes, both premium revenue and float income compress simultaneously. The 10-K notes that the return on these funds deposited at the company's bank "tends to decline" during periods of unfavorable economic conditions, creating correlated pressure across the company's two primary earnings streams in any downturn scenario.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty

From First American Corporation (New's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.2%
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$7.1B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth16.2%
Beta1.25
Dividend3.17%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.38Resistance $70.90

Price Targets

$65
$74
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FAF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $69.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $74.47 (+7.2%), stop $65.44 (−6.2%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FAF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $74.47 (+7.2% upside). Target $74.47 (+7.2%), stop $65.44 (−6.2%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $65.44.

What are the risks of investing in FAF?

Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Is FAF overvalued or undervalued?

First American Corporation (New trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FAF?

10 analysts cover FAF with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $86.

What does First American Corporation (New do?First American Financial Corporation provides title insurance and settlement services through its title insurance and...

First American Financial Corporation provides title insurance and settlement services through its title insurance and services segment, which contributed 93.6% of 2025 consolidated revenues. Policies are distributed via direct operations and independent agents across all 49 states permitting title insurance, plus international markets including Canada, the UK, and South Korea. The company ranks second by U.S. market share per ALTA data; its home warranty segment adds coverage in 36 states.

Related stocks: RDN (Radian Group Inc.) · AXS (Axis Capital Holdings Limited) · FNF (Fidelity National Financial, In) · RYAN (Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.) · NMIH (NMI Holdings Inc)
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