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FACFactorial Energy Inc.Sell4.3·$10.48-4.99%
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Factorial Energy Inc. (FAC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.48: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Factorial Energy Inc. manufactures and sells solid-state batteries for the eMobility, defense, and AI/robotics markets. The company offers products, such as high-performing solid-state battery cells, and utilizes advanced manufacturing techniques, including a proprietary... Read more

$10.48+49.5% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#23 of 24 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield
Stop $9.52Target $15.30(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$18.00+71.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.48: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Factorial Energy Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T12:40:25Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-36.6
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA-39.2
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts1

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV194%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 21, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
7.5
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
21 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.45Resistance $25.33

Price Targets

$10
$15
A.Upside+46.0%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for FAC.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.48: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.52. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.30 (+49.5% upside). Prior stop was $9.52. Stop-loss: $9.52.

What are the risks of investing in FAC?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is FAC overvalued or undervalued?

Factorial Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -36.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Factorial Energy Inc. do?Factorial Energy Inc. manufactures and sells solid-state batteries for the eMobility, defense, and AI/robotics markets....

Factorial Energy Inc. manufactures and sells solid-state batteries for the eMobility, defense, and AI/robotics markets. The company offers products, such as high-performing solid-state battery cells, and utilizes advanced manufacturing techniques, including a proprietary dry-coating process. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Billerica, Massachusetts.

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