Ford operates with deeply impaired fundamentals — free cash flow is negative at roughly 1% of revenue, there is no discernible competitive moat, and price momentum is clearly negative — while a high dividend yield is flagged as unsafe; despite about 18% room to the next resistance level, the structural quality deficit and momentum headwinds require meaningful improvement before the risk profile justifies new exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Structural Quality Deficit→Stable
- Negative Price Momentum↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Delivery Variance→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Ford Motor Company (F) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.74: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.74: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, news boost analyst cluster(6), semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-27Recent Developments — Ford Motor Company
Latest news
- NEWS Ford To Rally Around 22%? Here Are 10 Top Analyst Forecasts For Monday — benzinga Jul 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS This General Motors Analyst Turns Bulish; Here Are Top 5 Upgrades For Monday — benzinga Jul 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS Jefferies Upgrades Ford Motor to Buy, Raises Price Target to $17.5 — benzinga Jul 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS U.S. House Select Committee On China Chairman John Moolenaar Criticizes Ford's Collaboration With Chinese Automaker Geel — benzinga Jul 23, 2026 negative
- NEWS Apple Maps To Be Integrated Into Upcoming Ford's Universal Electric Vehicle Platform Through Apple's New Mapkit For Auto — benzinga Jul 23, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-07-27T14:33:03Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.74: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $13.92. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.57 (-8.1% upside). Prior stop was $13.92. Stop-loss: $13.92.
Target reached (-8.1% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).
Ford Motor Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
30 analysts cover F with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $15.
What does Ford Motor Company do?Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and...
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine and hybrid vehicles, electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers; develops EV and digital vehicle technologies, and software; and provides telematics and EV charging solutions. It also sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. In addition, it engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. Further, the company provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers. Additionally, it offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. Ford Motor Company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.