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ERIIEnergy Recovery, Inc.Sell6.0·$8.89-0.11%
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Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

Sell if holding. At $8.89, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.8%.

Energy Recovery, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells energy efficiency technology solutions in the United States, North, South and Latin America, the Middle East, Northern Africa, Asia, and Europe. It operates through Water and Emerging... Read more

$8.89+5.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 6 Pollution & Treatment Controls
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.55%
Stop $8.22Target $9.35(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$11.00+23.7%3 analysts
$9.35our TP
$8.89price
$11.00mean
$12

Sell if holding. At $8.89, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.8%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Energy Recovery, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.8%
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.9
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$456M
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth20.3%
Beta0.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV87%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
3.6
Support Resistance
5.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.8
Ma Position
4.0
Macd
7.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.83Resistance $9.91

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ERII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $8.89, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.8%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $8.22. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ERII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.35 (+5.8% upside). Prior stop was $8.22. Stop-loss: $8.22.

What are the risks of investing in ERII?

Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is ERII overvalued or undervalued?

Energy Recovery, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.9 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ERII?

10 analysts cover ERII with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Energy Recovery, Inc. do?Energy Recovery, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells energy efficiency technology...

Energy Recovery, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells energy efficiency technology solutions in the United States, North, South and Latin America, the Middle East, Northern Africa, Asia, and Europe. It operates through Water and Emerging Technologies segments. The company offers high and low pressure, and ultra high-pressure exchangers; AT and LPT hydraulic turbochargers; and high-pressure feed and circulation pumps for use in water treatment industries, including seawater and brackish desalination, and wastewater treatment. It also provides PX G1300, which reduces energy consumption and operating costs of carbon dioxide-based refrigeration systems; and spare parts, as well as repair, field, and commissioning services. The company sells its products under the ERI, PX, PX Pressure Exchanger, Pressure Exchanger, Ultra High-Pressure PX, PX G1300, PX PowerTrain, PX G, AT, and Aquabold brands to supermarket chains, cold storage facilities, refrigeration system installers or OEMs, and other industrial users; and aftermarket customers consisting of desalination plant owners and operators. Energy Recovery, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in San Leandro, California.

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