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ADURAduro Clean Technologies Inc.Hold5.1·$10.93
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Aduro Clean Technologies shows a clean technical breakout with an outsized reward-to-risk setup and a recent earnings beat after three straight misses, but weak underlying quality tied to heavy cash burn and a small-cap sizing cap keep the position at avoid.

Thesis pillars

  • Breakout With High Asymmetry Upside→Stable
  • Quality Below Floor Cash Burn→Stable
  • Earnings Turn After Three Misses→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. (ADUR) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

Earnings in 1 day (2026-10-14). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $394M below $400M minimum.

Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. engages in developing water-based chemical recycling technologies in Canada and Netherlands. The company's platform converts end-of-life plastics and tire rubber to chemicals and fuels; upgrades heavy crude oils; and transforms renewable oils into... Read more

$10.93+109.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#5 of 5 Pollution & Treatment Controls
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-2.09%
Stop $10.47Target $22.87(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 11.5:1
Analyst target$26.91+146.2%4 analysts
$22.87our TP
$10.93price
$26.91mean
$32

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $394M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $394M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 14, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $394M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-26.1
Mkt Cap$394M
EV/EBITDA-20.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-128.9%
Rev Growth-100.0%
Beta1.35
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV119%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 1 days

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.5
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -4928% of revenueRule of 40: -5028 (fail)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dA.R:R 11.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
19 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.79Resistance $13.08

Price Targets

$10
$23
A.Upside+109.3%
A.R:R11.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $394M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-14 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ADUR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $394M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $394M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $22.87 (+109.2%), stop $10.47 (−4.4%), A.R:R 11.5:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ADUR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.87 (+109.3% upside). Target $22.87 (+109.2%), stop $10.47 (−4.4%), A.R:R 11.5:1. Stop-loss: $10.47.

What are the risks of investing in ADUR?

Market cap $394M below $400M minimum.

Is ADUR overvalued or undervalued?

Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -26.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ADUR?

7 analysts cover ADUR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. do?Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. engages in developing water-based chemical recycling technologies in Canada and...

Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. engages in developing water-based chemical recycling technologies in Canada and Netherlands. The company's platform converts end-of-life plastics and tire rubber to chemicals and fuels; upgrades heavy crude oils; and transforms renewable oils into renewable fuels and chemicals. Its water based chemical recycling platform features applications in hydrochemolytic plastics upcycling, hydrochemolytic renewables upgrading, and hydrochemolytic bitumen upgrading sectors. The company was formerly known as Dimension Five Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. in 2021. Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. is headquartered in London, Canada.

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