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PCTPureCycle Technologies, Inc.Sell4.3·$2.79
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PureCycle Technologies is growing revenue at 161% year over year and has improved earnings delivery in the last 2 quarters, but quality metrics are at the floor at 1.7 with cash burning at 891% of revenue, 36% short interest, and a death cross — making this a speculative high-risk, high-growth story that is currently below minimum quality thresholds.

Thesis pillars

  • Explosive Revenue Growth Early Stage→Stable
  • Quality Floor Cash Burn Barrier→Stable
  • Earnings Improvement Recent Quarters↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PureCycle Technologies, Inc. (PCT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.79: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality.

We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for polypropylene that physically separates the polymer from other plastics, colors, odors and impurities (the "Technology"). The Technology was originally developed by P&G... Read more

$2.79+41.9% Upside to targetScore 4.3/10#4 of 4 Pollution & Treatment Controls
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-29.00%
Stop $2.59Resistance target $3.96A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$10.60+279.9%5 analysts with price targets
$3.96Resistance target
$2.79price
$10.60mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.79: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — PureCycle Technologies, Inc.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T12:04:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $10.60 vs price $2.79 — ratio 3.8×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-4.0
Mkt Cap$561M
EV/EBITDA-8.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-61.6%
Rev Growth173.5%
Beta2.73
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV171%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (20%).

Volatile — 11.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.9
Debt Equity
3.7
Put Call
4.0
High short interest justified: 45%High IV: 170%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
7.5

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
8.8
Cash-burning: FCF -1181% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.59Resistance $4.04

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $10.60 vs price $2.79 — ratio 3.8×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PCT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.79: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2.59. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PCT stock price target?

Resistance target: $3.96 (+41.9% upside). Prior stop was $2.59. Stop-loss: $2.59.

What are the risks of investing in PCT?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $10.60 vs price $2.79 — ratio 3.8×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is PCT overvalued or undervalued?

PureCycle Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4.0). TrendMatrix value score: 0.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PCT?

10 analysts rate PCT, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $11.

What does PureCycle Technologies, Inc. do?We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for...

We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for polypropylene that physically separates the polymer from other plastics, colors, odors and impurities (the "Technology"). The Technology was originally developed by P&G and is designed to restore recycled polypropylene waste into like-new resin, called PureFive® resin. Our PureFive® resin has similar properties and applicability for reuse as virgin polypropylene. We have a gl

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