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PCTPureCycle Technologies, Inc.Sell4.2·$3.22
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PureCycle Technologies is growing revenue at 161% year over year and has improved earnings delivery in the last 2 quarters, but quality metrics are at the floor at 1.7 with cash burning at 891% of revenue, 36% short interest, and a death cross — making this a speculative high-risk, high-growth story that is currently below minimum quality thresholds.

Thesis pillars

  • Explosive Revenue Growth Early Stage→Stable
  • Quality Floor Cash Burn Barrier→Stable
  • Earnings Improvement Recent Quarters↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PureCycle Technologies, Inc. (PCT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.22: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 40%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for polypropylene that physically separates the polymer from other plastics, colors, odors and impurities (the "Technology"). The Technology was originally developed by P&G... Read more

$3.22+78.6% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#4 of 4 Pollution & Treatment Controls
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-25.13%
Stop $3.00Target $5.75(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$10.60+229.2%5 analysts
$5.75our TP
$3.22price
$10.60mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.22: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 40%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 16, MACD bearish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202621d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $10.60 vs price $3.22 — ratio 3.3×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-4.6
Mkt Cap$647M
EV/EBITDA-9.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-61.6%
Rev Growth173.5%
Beta2.63
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish
IV115%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (20%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
7.5

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
8.8
Cash-burning: FCF -1181% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 10.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
1.2
Debt Equity
3.7
Put Call
5.8
News Risk
6.0
High short interest justified: 40%High IV: 115%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.7
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 16, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
16 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.09Resistance $5.87

Price Targets

$3
$6
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $10.60 vs price $3.22 — ratio 3.3×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PCT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.22: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 40%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 16, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $3.00. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PCT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.75 (+78.6% upside). Prior stop was $3.00. Stop-loss: $3.00.

What are the risks of investing in PCT?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $10.60 vs price $3.22 — ratio 3.3×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is PCT overvalued or undervalued?

PureCycle Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4.6). TrendMatrix value score: 0.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PCT?

9 analysts cover PCT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $11.

What does PureCycle Technologies, Inc. do?We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for...

We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for polypropylene that physically separates the polymer from other plastics, colors, odors and impurities (the "Technology"). The Technology was originally developed by P&G and is designed to restore recycled polypropylene waste into like-new resin, called PureFive® resin. Our PureFive® resin has similar properties and applicability for reuse as virgin polypropylene. We have a gl

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