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EPREPR PropertiesHold4.9·$59.10+2.36%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This specialty REIT carries strong underlying quality metrics and an impressive earnings track record, but the price has nearly reached its near-term ceiling and the risk/reward ratio is now unfavorable — momentum remains positive and the business is healthy, yet limited upside at current levels argues for reducing rather than adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Experiential Property ConcentrationStable
  • Earnings Beat Track RecordStable
  • Quality And Cash ConversionStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

EPR Properties (EPR) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $59.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: Experiential properties (94.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

EPR Properties is a Maryland REIT investing in experiential real estate across 43 states and Canada via long-term triple-net leases and mortgages — including theaters, eat & play venues, ski properties, and fitness facilities. As of December 31, 2025, total investments were $7.0... Read more

$59.10+0.7% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#13 of 16 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.63%
IncomeYield6.29%(5y avg 6.78%)Payout109.72%
Stop $56.58Target $59.49(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$61.40+3.9%10 analysts
$59.49our TP
$59.10price
$61.40mean
$55
$70

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $59.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: Experiential properties (94.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About EPR Properties

About EPR Properties

Topgolf (14.2%), AMC (13.6%), and Regal (11.5%) collectively accounted for 39.3% of EPR Properties' 2025 total revenues, against a $7.0 billion total investment portfolio spanning 43 states and Canada as of December 31, 2025. The Experiential segment — 148 theatres, 60 eat & play venues, 26 attractions, 11 ski properties, and 27 fitness & wellness facilities among others — comprised 94% of that investment base, with roughly 19.0 million square feet 99% leased.

EPR Properties earns revenue primarily through long-term triple-net leases and mortgage notes receivable under which tenants bear operating expenses including property taxes, insurance, and maintenance. Leases typically include periodic rent escalations and percentage rent provisions tied to tenant gross sales, and master lease structures carry cross-default provisions — a default at one property triggers default across all properties under the same tenant lease. An Education portfolio of 46 early childhood education centers and 9 private schools, 100% leased and totaling approximately 1.1 million square feet, is being wound down with proceeds targeted for reinvestment in experiential properties. EPR relies primarily on an unsecured debt structure and issues equity through an ATM program and a Dividend Reinvestment and Direct Share Purchase Plan, paying monthly common share dividends. The company competes for assets with public and private REITs, private equity funds, and institutional investors.

Show full overview

Tenant credit risk is concentrated: Regal filed for Chapter 11 in 2022 — among the 'material customer bankruptcies' the 10-K notes EPR has experienced — and post-reorganization AMC and Regal together still represent 25.1% of annual revenues. The 10-K warns that if Topgolf, AMC, and/or Regal fail to perform, EPR could be required to reduce or suspend shareholder dividends. A potential studio consolidation that shortens the current approximately 45-day theatrical exclusivity window, or reduces the number of wide-release titles, could simultaneously pressure the revenue base of all three largest tenants.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

From EPR Properties's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: Experiential properties (94.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.2
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn37.7%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta1.02
Dividend6.29%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWTenantTopgolf14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'total revenues of approximately $102.3 million or 14.2% were from Topgolf'
  • LOWTenantAMC14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately $97.4 million or 13.6% were from AMC'
  • LOWTenantRegal12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately $82.8 million or 11.5% were from Regal'
  • HIGHPropertyExperiential properties94%
    10-K Item 1: 'our Experiential investments comprised $6.6 billion, or 94%, and our Education investments comprised $0.4 billion, or 6%, of our total investments'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.0
Revenue Growth
3.4
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.35Resistance $60.70

Price Targets

$57
$59
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $59.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: Experiential properties (94.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $59.49 (+0.7%), stop $56.58 (−4.5%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $59.49 (+0.7% upside). Target $59.49 (+0.7%), stop $56.58 (−4.5%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $56.58.

What are the risks of investing in EPR?

Concentration risk — Property Type: Experiential properties (94.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

Is EPR overvalued or undervalued?

EPR Properties trades at a P/E of 18.2 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EPR?

16 analysts cover EPR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $61.

What does EPR Properties do?EPR Properties is a Maryland REIT investing in experiential real estate across 43 states and Canada via long-term...

EPR Properties is a Maryland REIT investing in experiential real estate across 43 states and Canada via long-term triple-net leases and mortgages — including theaters, eat & play venues, ski properties, and fitness facilities. As of December 31, 2025, total investments were $7.0 billion, 94% in Experiential; three tenants (Topgolf, AMC, Regal) contributed 39.3% of 2025 total revenue.

Related stocks: FRMI (Fermi Inc.) · RYN (Rayonier Inc. REIT) · GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties, ) · UNIT (Uniti Group Inc.) · IRM (Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del)
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