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EEFTEuronet Worldwide, Inc.Sell4.9·$73.20-1.39%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

At a forward P/E of 5.5x and a PEG of 0.47, the stock is priced for distress the fundamentals do not obviously justify, with institutional accumulation diverging from the price trend. However, a confirmed downtrend, 12% short interest, and heavy revenue concentration in a single segment create real near-term headwinds that must be weighed carefully.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Concentration Leverage RiskStable
  • Deep Value With Analyst UpsideDeteriorating
  • Institutional Accumulation SignalDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Euronet Worldwide, Inc. (EEFT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityHigh Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. At $73.20, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Concentration risk — Product: digital media products (73.0%).

Euronet Worldwide provides electronic payment and transaction processing via three segments: EFT Processing (30% of 2025 revenues), epay (28%), and Money Transfer (42%), operating 56,818 ATMs and ~749,000 POS terminals across 60+ countries. Revenue comes from ATM transaction... Read more

$73.20+4.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#91 of 103 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield11.18%
Stop $68.08Target $76.12(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$87.50+19.5%6 analysts
$76.12our TP
$73.20price
$87.50mean
$94

Sell if holding. At $73.20, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Concentration risk — Product: digital media products (73.0%). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: digital media products (73.0%)
Thin upside margin: 4.0%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA5.1
Profit Mgn6.6%
ROE22.4%
Rev Growth3.2%
Beta0.83
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.42bearish
IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductdigital media products73%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 73% of total revenues and approximately 78% of gross profit for the epay Segment was from electronic content other than prepaid mobile airtime (digital media products)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02LOW
    Board member Andrzej Olechowski passed away April 25, 2026. Had served since 2002; no longer standing for re-election. Board reduced nominee count. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.3

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.7
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $68.73Resistance $83.97

Price Targets

$68
$76
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EEFT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $73.20, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Concentration risk — Product: digital media products (73.0%). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $68.08. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the EEFT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.12 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $68.08. Stop-loss: $68.08.

What are the risks of investing in EEFT?

Concentration risk — Product: digital media products (73.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.

Is EEFT overvalued or undervalued?

Euronet Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EEFT?

16 analysts cover EEFT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $88.

What does Euronet Worldwide, Inc. do?Euronet Worldwide provides electronic payment and transaction processing via three segments: EFT Processing (30% of...

Euronet Worldwide provides electronic payment and transaction processing via three segments: EFT Processing (30% of 2025 revenues), epay (28%), and Money Transfer (42%), operating 56,818 ATMs and ~749,000 POS terminals across 60+ countries. Revenue comes from ATM transaction fees, digital content distribution commissions, and remittance transfer fees.

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