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DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.Sell6.0·$10.88+3.03%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

DoubleVerify trades at a depressed valuation with strong free cash flow conversion, but four consecutive earnings misses and a confirmed price downtrend make near-term caution warranted; the setup favors patience until execution improves and the technical backdrop reverses.

Thesis pillars

  • Consecutive Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • Depressed Valuation With Strong Cash ConversionStable
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend Death CrossDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. (DV) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Sell if holding. At $10.88, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 7.9%.

DoubleVerify measures digital advertising quality—fraud, brand suitability, viewability, and geography—for over 2,500 advertisers across programmatic, social, and CTV channels globally. Revenue comes from per-transaction analysis fees (Measured Transaction Fees) scaling with... Read more

$10.88+7.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 16 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.11%
Stop $10.13Target $11.76(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$13.07+20.1%15 analysts
$11.76our TP
$10.88price
$13.07mean
$8
$16

Sell if holding. At $10.88, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 7.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27

Recent Developments — DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-27T14:48:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.9%
Consecutive earnings misses (4)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.0
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV79%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierdigital media platforms
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our revenue depends on customers using our solutions on these digital media platforms'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 10 days
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.35Resistance $12.10

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+7.9%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $10.88, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 7.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.13. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.76 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $10.13. Stop-loss: $10.13.

What are the risks of investing in DV?

Thin upside margin: 7.9%; Consecutive earnings misses (4); Negative momentum.

Is DV overvalued or undervalued?

DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.0 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DV?

27 analysts cover DV with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $13.

What does DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. do?DoubleVerify measures digital advertising quality—fraud, brand suitability, viewability, and geography—for over 2,500...

DoubleVerify measures digital advertising quality—fraud, brand suitability, viewability, and geography—for over 2,500 advertisers across programmatic, social, and CTV channels globally. Revenue comes from per-transaction analysis fees (Measured Transaction Fees) scaling with customers' ad spend; no single customer exceeded 10% of 2025 revenue. Net revenue retention of 109% in 2025 reflects expansion from new solutions within the existing customer base.

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