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DTMDT Midstream, Inc.Sell5.2·$140.51-0.13%
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DT Midstream, Inc. (DTM) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $140.51 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwestern U.S., Eastern Canada, Northeastern U.S. and Gulf Coast.

DT Midstream, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated natural gas services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Pipeline and Gathering. The Pipeline segment owns and operates interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines, storage... Read more

$140.51+6.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#32 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.02%
IncomeYield2.50%Payout74.06%
Stop $134.59Target $148.89(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$154.20+9.7%15 analysts
$148.89our TP
$140.51price
$154.20mean
$127
$176

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $140.51 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwestern U.S., Eastern Canada, Northeastern U.S. and Gulf Coast. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About DT Midstream, Inc.

About DT Midstream, Inc.

DT Midstream gathers, transports, and stores natural gas across four regions — the Midwestern United States, Eastern Canada, Northeastern United States, and Gulf Coast — with Expand Energy accounting for approximately 45% of operating revenues in the year ended December 31, 2025. The company carries $3.35 billion in outstanding senior notes and conducts operations through joint ventures including Vector, Millennium, and NEXUS.

DT Midstream earns revenue primarily through firm service contracts with fixed demand charges or minimum volume commitments, which provide fixed revenue commitments regardless of actual gas volumes and reduce direct exposure to commodity price swings. Pipeline, storage, and gathering assets interconnect with multiple interstate and intrastate pipelines across the Midwestern, Northeastern, Eastern Canadian, and Gulf Coast markets. The company does not operate the assets owned by Vector, Millennium, and NEXUS joint ventures, meaning day-to-day operational decisions and capital commitments in those ventures depend on partner governance. Third-party pipeline interconnections — if subject to testing, repair, or damage — could restrict throughput and reduce revenues without recourse on the company's part. Contract renewal risk exists as firm-service agreements with fixed demand charges may not be replicated at expiration, potentially shifting revenue toward more volume-sensitive terms.

Show full overview

DT Midstream's fixed-fee structure limits commodity price exposure but concentrates commercial risk on Expand Energy, which generated approximately 45% of operating revenues in 2025. Loss of all or a portion of Expand Energy's contracted volumes — through reduced drilling activity, creditworthiness deterioration, or contract non-renewal — could materially reduce revenues. The 10-K identifies contract renewal risk explicitly, noting that existing firm-service agreements may not be replicated at expiration with equivalent fixed-revenue structures, which could shift cash flows toward more variable-volume pricing.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

From DT Midstream, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwestern U.S., Eastern Canada, Northeastern U.S. and Gulf Coast
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.1
P/E (Fwd)28.2
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA19.8
Profit Mgn36.3%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth10.9%
Beta0.74
Dividend2.50%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV44%normal
Max Pain$160+13.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerExpand Energy45%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Expand Energy accounted for approximately 45% of our operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicMidwestern U.S., Eastern Canada, Northeastern U.S. and Gulf Coast
    10-K Item 1A: 'substantially all of which are located in the Midwestern U.S., Eastern Canada, Northeastern U.S. and Gulf Coast regions'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Melissa Cox, EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, terminated without cause effective May 8, 2026. Will receive severance per existing Severance Agreement previously filed with Form 10-K. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.6
Growth Rank
4.0
Quality Rank
4.8

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.1
Ps
2.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Pe
4.2
Forward Pe
4.4
Peg Ratio
5.3
Forward P/E: 28.2xPEG: 1.42

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
5.1
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $136.95Resistance $151.93

Price Targets

$135
$149
A.Upside+6.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DTM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $140.51 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwestern U.S., Eastern Canada, Northeastern U.S. and Gulf Coast. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $134.59. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DTM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $148.89 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $134.59. Stop-loss: $134.59.

What are the risks of investing in DTM?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwestern U.S., Eastern Canada, Northeastern U.S. and Gulf Coast; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is DTM overvalued or undervalued?

DT Midstream, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.1 (forward 28.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DTM?

21 analysts cover DTM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $154.

What does DT Midstream, Inc. do?DT Midstream, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated natural gas services in the United States. The...

DT Midstream, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated natural gas services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Pipeline and Gathering. The Pipeline segment owns and operates interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines, storage systems, and natural gas gathering lateral pipelines. This segment also engages in the transportation and storage of natural gas for intermediate and end-user customers. The Gathering segment owns and operates gas gathering systems. This segment is involved in the collection of natural gas for delivery to plants for treating, to gathering pipelines for further gathering, or to pipelines for transportation; and associated ancillary services, including compression, dehydration, gas treatment, water impoundment, water transportation, water disposal, and sand mining. It serves natural gas producers, local distribution companies, electric power generators, industrials, and national marketers. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.

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