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DOLEDole plcSell5.9·$13.95-0.50%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Dole plc is attractively priced on a forward earnings multiple of under 10 times with a PEG ratio of 0.16, but business quality sits below the minimum acceptable threshold, no competitive moat is identified, and three of the four most recently reported quarters missed or came in at estimates; the upside to the analyst target is too thin relative to the quality risk to justify a position.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Floor Quality No MoatStable
  • Compelling Valuation Margin Of SafetyStable
  • Weak Earnings Delivery Track RecordStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Dole plc (DOLE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.95: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Dole plc produces, sources, distributes, and markets fresh fruits and vegetables, operating in 30 countries and distributing more than 300 products in over 85 countries through retail, wholesale, foodservice, and e-commerce channels under the DOLE brand. The company runs three... Read more

$13.95+7.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 8 Farm Products
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield14.07%
IncomeYield2.43%Payout36.56%sustainable
Stop $13.25Target $15.03(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$17.69+26.8%4 analysts
$15.03our TP
$13.95price
$17.69mean
$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.95: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Dole plc

About Dole plc

Dole plc operates in 30 countries and distributes more than 300 fresh fruit and vegetable products — chiefly bananas, pineapples, and plantains under its Fresh Fruit segment — in over 85 countries, supported by roughly 112,000 acres of farms and land holdings. The company employs 32,027 people across its Fresh Fruit, Diversified Fresh Produce EMEA, and Americas & ROW segments, and completed the $140 million sale of its Fresh Vegetables division in August 2025.

Dole sources bananas and pineapples primarily from Latin America through a mix of company-owned farms, leased land, and independent grower relationships, with roughly one-third of marketed bananas and 75% of pineapples produced on Dole-owned land; the remainder of its portfolio, including avocados, grapes, kiwis, berries, and cherries, is sourced globally and sold through grocery stores, wholesalers, mass merchandisers, and foodservice operators. No single third-party grower accounted for more than 10% of sourced volume for any major product in fiscal 2025, and no single customer contributed more than 10% of total sales, reflecting a broadly diversified grower and customer base. The company also operates a commercial cargo business, offering available capacity on its own vessels to transport third-party cargo alongside its bananas and pineapples between Latin America, North America, and Europe. Dole competes with Fresh Del Monte Produce and Chiquita Brands International across its category lines.

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Dole's fresh produce faces recurring regulatory exposure around genetically modified ingredients: some products contain GMOs, and labeling rules such as the U.S. requirement effective January 1, 2022 could shape consumer perception, while the EU and other jurisdictions have separately restricted GMO product sales. The company is also researching gene-edited alternatives — including a Tropical Race 4-resistant banana variety — that it may need to deploy if disease spread or climate pressures leave conventional Cavendish bananas commercially unviable in some sourcing regions, a shift whose consumer acceptance is not yet established.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

From Dole plc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Dole plc

Generated 2026-07-07T12:41:49Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.1
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn0.5%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta0.65
Dividend2.43%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$3-82.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Operating Margin
1.0
Roa
2.0
Roe
2.7
Current Ratio
4.8
Moat
4.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 430% FCF/NINo competitive moat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.9
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 243.0%
GatesMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.57Resistance $14.37

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+7.7%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOLE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.95: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.25. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOLE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.03 (+7.7% upside). Prior stop was $13.25. Stop-loss: $13.25.

What are the risks of investing in DOLE?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is DOLE overvalued or undervalued?

Dole plc trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOLE?

10 analysts cover DOLE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Dole plc do?Dole plc produces, sources, distributes, and markets fresh fruits and vegetables, operating in 30 countries and...

Dole plc produces, sources, distributes, and markets fresh fruits and vegetables, operating in 30 countries and distributing more than 300 products in over 85 countries through retail, wholesale, foodservice, and e-commerce channels under the DOLE brand. The company runs three segments — Fresh Fruit, Diversified Fresh Produce EMEA, and Americas & ROW — sourcing from over 100 countries, and sold its Fresh Vegetables division for approximately $140.0 million in August 2025.

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