Skip to main content
DGIIDigi International Inc.Hold5.9·$85.12-0.02%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Digi International has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats averaging roughly 6% upside and converts earnings into free cash flow at nearly three times net income, but the stock trades within less than 1% of its near-term resistance target with a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 24.6 times and a price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio of 6.84, leaving the risk/reward firmly unfavorable; two unresolved supply-chain concentration risks add downside that the current geometry does not compensate for.

Thesis pillars

  • Stretched Valuation Thin UpsideStable
  • Supply Chain Concentration RiskDeteriorating
  • Consistent Earnings Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Digi International Inc. (DGII) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $85.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: manufacturer in China; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced suppliers.

Digi International provides IoT connectivity products and managed solutions through two segments: IoT Products & Services (cellular routers, embedded modules, console servers for OEMs and enterprises) and IoT Solutions (SmartSense condition monitoring and Ventus... Read more

$85.12-12.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#11 of 25 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.96%
Stop $79.16Target $97.89(default +15%)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$85.40+0.3%5 analysts
$97.89our TP
$85.12price
$85.40mean
$76
$98

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $85.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: manufacturer in China; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced suppliers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202689d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: manufacturer in China
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)67.6
P/E (Fwd)27.2
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA28.9
Profit Mgn9.6%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth29.0%
Beta0.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerone distributor customer13%
    10-K Item 1: 'We had one distributor customer of Digi's IoT Products & Services segment that represented 13% of consolidated revenue for the twelve months ended September 30, 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliermanufacturer in China
    10-K Item 1A: 'Ventus relies almost exclusively on a manufacturer in China for the production of the hardware it provides to its customers'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-sourced suppliers
    10-K Item 1: 'We have several single-sourced supplier relationships, either because alternative sources are not available or because the relationship is advantageous to us'
  • MEDIUMCustomerfewer than twenty customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'its business historically has been significantly concentrated on its relationships with fewer than twenty customers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
1.0
Pe
1.6
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
4.6
Ps
5.9
Forward P/E: 27.2xPEG: 7.80Expensive valuation

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.7
Bollinger
1.4
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
85 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $63.27Resistance $86.84

Price Targets

$79
$98
A.Upside-12.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DGII stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $85.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: manufacturer in China; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced suppliers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $97.89 (+15.0%), stop $79.16 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DGII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.89 (-12.7% upside). Target $97.89 (+15.0%), stop $79.16 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $79.16.

What are the risks of investing in DGII?

Concentration risk — Supplier: manufacturer in China; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is DGII overvalued or undervalued?

Digi International Inc. trades at a P/E of 67.6 (forward 27.2). TrendMatrix value score: 2.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DGII?

11 analysts cover DGII with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Digi International Inc. do?Digi International provides IoT connectivity products and managed solutions through two segments: IoT Products &...

Digi International provides IoT connectivity products and managed solutions through two segments: IoT Products & Services (cellular routers, embedded modules, console servers for OEMs and enterprises) and IoT Solutions (SmartSense condition monitoring and Ventus managed-network-as-a-service). IoT Solutions ARR was $120 million and IoT Products & Services ARR was $32 million as of September 30, 2025, with 913 employees globally.

Related stocks: GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) · HLIT (Harmonic Inc.) · VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.) · ZBRA (Zebra Technologies Corporation) · BDC (Belden Inc)
Home Stocks DGII

Latest news

Latest News

Traders Union17d ago
MarketBeat17d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance17d ago
TradingKey17d ago
TradingKey17d ago
Newser108d ago
MarketBeat108d agoEarnings
Sahm108d agoProduct
GuruFocus122d agoProduct
GuruFocus3d ago
GuruFocus9d ago
MarketBeat10d agoEarnings
TradingView10d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com10d agoEarnings
Business Wire10d agoEarnings
MarketBeat10d ago
Yahoo Finance109d ago
MarketBeat123d ago
MarketBeat123d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus95d agoProduct
Loading more...