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DBDeutsche Bank AGSell5.4·$34.66+1.52%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An attractive forward multiple of 6.3 times earnings, three consecutive quarterly beats, and building price momentum support maintaining the current position, but the stock has already moved above the measured price target with unfavorable risk/reward — adding to the position is not warranted at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward ValuationStable
  • Sustained Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Positive Price MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Deutsche Bank AG (DB) Stock Analysis

SellValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.66 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and asset management products and services in Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It... Read more

$34.66+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#191 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.41%(5y avg 2.78%)Payout21.52%sustainable
Stop $32.84Target $35.23(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$41.45+19.6%2 analysts
$35.23our TP
$34.66price
$41.45mean
$43

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.66 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — Deutsche Bank AG

Generated 2026-07-26T06:17:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 37%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.5
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$66.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn22.7%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta0.98
Dividend3.41%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Earnings Growth
3.4
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.42Resistance $37.49

Price Targets

$33
$35
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.7% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.66 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $32.84. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.23 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $32.84. Stop-loss: $32.84.

What are the risks of investing in DB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth.

Is DB overvalued or undervalued?

Deutsche Bank AG trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DB?

24 analysts cover DB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Deutsche Bank AG do?Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and...

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and asset management products and services in Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through Corporate Bank, Investment Bank, Private Bank, and Asset Management segments. The Corporate Bank segment offers cash management services, such as integrated payments and FX solutions; trade finance and lending offerings, including documentary and guarantee business, and structured trade finance and lending; and depository receipts, corporate trust, document custody, and securities services. The Investment Bank segment provides financing solutions in industries and asset classes; institutional sales, trading, and structuring in foreign exchange, rates, emerging markets, and credit trading; liquidity, market making services, and specialized risk management solutions for fixed income and currencies products; and advisory and financial products and services. This segment is also involved in the mergers and acquisitions business; and capital markets businesses in debt and equity. The Private Bank segment offers a range of payment and account services, and credit and deposit products, as well as investment advice, and postal and parcel services; and planning, managing and investing wealth, financing personal and business interests, and servicing institutional and corporate needs. The Asset Management segment provides access to investment capabilities in active and passive asset classes comprising Xtrackers range and alternatives; and access to private equity, private credit, real estate, and infrastructure. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft was incorporated in 1870 and is headquartered in Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

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