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Deutsche Bank AG (DB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Wait for pullback to $31.04. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.46. Engine's entry $31.04 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth.

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and asset management products and services in Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It... Read more

$31.46+18.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#118 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.81%(5y avg 2.78%)Payout21.52%sustainable
Entry $31.04(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $29.55Target $36.63(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.3:1Setup A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$43.10+37.0%2 analysts
$36.63our TP
$31.46price
$43.10mean
$45

Wait for pullback to $31.04. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.46. Engine's entry $31.04 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Deutsche Bank AG

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.4
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$59.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn22.7%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta1.00
Dividend3.81%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$23-26.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Earnings Growth
3.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.5
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
7.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $30.12Resistance $32.43

Price Targets

$30
$31
$37
A.Upside+16.4%
A.R:R3.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.4%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DB stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $31.04. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.46. Engine's entry $31.04 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $36.63 (+16.4%), stop $29.55 (−6.5%), Setup A.R:R 3.8:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.63 (+18.1% upside). Target $36.63 (+16.4%), stop $29.55 (−6.5%), Setup A.R:R 3.8:1. Stop-loss: $29.55.

What are the risks of investing in DB?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is DB overvalued or undervalued?

Deutsche Bank AG trades at a P/E of 8.4 (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DB?

25 analysts cover DB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Deutsche Bank AG do?Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and...

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and asset management products and services in Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through Corporate Bank, Investment Bank, Private Bank, and Asset Management segments. The Corporate Bank segment offers cash management services, such as integrated payments and FX solutions; trade finance and lending offerings, including documentary and guarantee business, and structured trade finance and lending; and depository receipts, corporate trust, document custody, and securities services. The Investment Bank segment provides financing solutions in industries and asset classes; institutional sales, trading, and structuring in foreign exchange, rates, emerging markets, and credit trading; liquidity, market making services, and specialized risk management solutions for fixed income and currencies products; and advisory and financial products and services. This segment is also involved in the mergers and acquisitions business; and capital markets businesses in debt and equity. The Private Bank segment offers a range of payment and account services, and credit and deposit products, as well as investment advice, and postal and parcel services; and planning, managing and investing wealth, financing personal and business interests, and servicing institutional and corporate needs. The Asset Management segment provides access to investment capabilities in active and passive asset classes comprising Xtrackers range and alternatives; and access to private equity, private credit, real estate, and infrastructure. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft was incorporated in 1870 and is headquartered in Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

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