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DBDeutsche Bank AGHold5.7·$35.62
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An attractive forward multiple of 6.3 times earnings, three consecutive quarterly beats, and building price momentum support maintaining the current position, but the stock has already moved above the measured price target with unfavorable risk/reward — adding to the position is not warranted at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward Valuation→Stable
  • Sustained Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Positive Price Momentum↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Deutsche Bank AG (DB) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

HoldValueAI GATE: FLAGGED — 1 riskModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and asset management products and services in Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It... Read more

$35.62-3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#156 of 221 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield3.10%(5y avg 2.78%)Payout30.43%sustainable
Stop $34.11Target $40.79(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$40.50+13.7%2 analysts
$40.79our TP
$35.62price
$40.50mean
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 13, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and news legal. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.0
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$67.4B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn22.7%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.00
Dividend3.10%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.4
Rsi
9.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 13)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVENEWS LEGALInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
13 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.16Resistance $41.62

Price Targets

$34
$41
A.Upside-3.4%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! News modifier suppressed: positive news (+1) cannot lift HOLD to buy-class with analyst upside -3.4% (lift floor +1.5%)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 13, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $40.79 (+14.5%), stop $34.11 (−4.4%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.79 (-3.4% upside). Target $40.79 (+14.5%), stop $34.11 (−4.4%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $34.11.

What are the risks of investing in DB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Negative momentum.

Is DB overvalued or undervalued?

Deutsche Bank AG trades at a P/E of 10.0 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DB?

24 analysts cover DB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Deutsche Bank AG do?Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and...

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and asset management products and services in Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through Corporate Bank, Investment Bank, Private Bank, and Asset Management segments. The Corporate Bank segment offers cash management services, such as integrated payments and FX solutions; trade finance and lending offerings, including documentary and guarantee business, and structured trade finance and lending; and depository receipts, corporate trust, document custody, and securities services. The Investment Bank segment provides financing solutions in industries and asset classes; institutional sales, trading, and structuring in foreign exchange, rates, emerging markets, and credit trading; liquidity, market making services, and specialized risk management solutions for fixed income and currencies products; and advisory and financial products and services. This segment is also involved in the mergers and acquisitions business; and capital markets businesses in debt and equity. The Private Bank segment offers a range of payment and account services, and credit and deposit products, as well as investment advice, and postal and parcel services; and planning, managing and investing wealth, financing personal and business interests, and servicing institutional and corporate needs. The Asset Management segment provides access to investment capabilities in active and passive asset classes comprising Xtrackers range and alternatives; and access to private equity, private credit, real estate, and infrastructure. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft was incorporated in 1870 and is headquartered in Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

Related stocks: ONB (Old National Bancorp) · BSBR (Banco Santander Brasil SA) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · ZION (Zions Bancorporation N.A.) · NU (Nu Holdings Ltd.)
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