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CXCemex, S.A.B. de C.V. SponsoredHold6.0·$12.29+1.32%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cemex screens attractively valued at approximately 14.5x forward earnings with excellent free cash flow conversion and rising volume accumulation confirming institutional buying, but shares have essentially reached the near-term technical ceiling with roughly 2% headroom and an unfavorable risk/reward ratio — and an extreme earnings miss in one of the past four quarters tempers confidence in execution consistency.

Thesis pillars

  • Technical Target ExhaustionStable
  • Attractive Valuation Growth ProfileStable
  • Strong Fcf Piotroski FoundationStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored (CX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.5%.

CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials and services worldwide. It offers gray ordinary portland, white... Read more

$12.29+5.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.07%
IncomeYield0.80%(5y avg 3.95%)Payout25.98%sustainable
Stop $11.53Target $12.97(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$14.41+17.2%15 analysts
$12.97our TP
$12.29price
$14.41mean
$11
$20

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.5%. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:26Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.5%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.1
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$17.7B
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn2.7%
ROE3.8%
Rev Growth11.2%
Beta0.84
Dividend0.80%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.22bullish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.62Resistance $13.37

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.5%. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $12.97 (+5.5%), stop $11.53 (−6.6%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.97 (+5.5% upside). Target $12.97 (+5.5%), stop $11.53 (−6.6%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $11.53.

What are the risks of investing in CX?

Thin upside margin: 5.5%.

Is CX overvalued or undervalued?

Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored trades at a P/E of 35.1 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CX?

15 analysts cover CX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored do?CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of...

CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials and services worldwide. It offers gray ordinary portland, white portland, and blended cement products; masonry or mortar products; standard ready-mix, architectural and decorative, rapid-setting, fiber-reinforced, fluid-fill, roller-compacted, self-consolidating, pervious, and antibacterial, and other concrete products; aggregate products, including crushed stone and manufactured sand, gravel, sand, and recycled concrete; and vertua products. The company also provides urbanization solutions for construction chemicals, mortars, concrete products, and asphalt businesses, as well as municipal and industrial waste management solutions; and construction, demolition, and excavation waste solutions. CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1906 and is based in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico.

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