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CSVCarriage Services, Inc.Sell4.8·$39.02+1.14%
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Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $39.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Carriage Services, Inc. provides funeral and cemetery services, and merchandise in the United States. It operates through two segments, Funeral Home Operations and Cemetery Operations. The Funeral Home Operations segment provides consultation services; funeral home facilities... Read more

$39.02+33.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#6 of 7 Personal Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield7.31%
IncomeYield1.15%(5y avg 1.26%)Payout16.36%sustainable
Stop $36.36Target $52.20(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst target$60.00+53.8%5 analysts
$52.20our TP
$39.02price
$60.00mean
$65

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $39.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 34%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$619M
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn10.6%
ROE18.0%
Rev Growth-0.9%
Beta0.84
Dividend1.15%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.3
Declining revenue: -1%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.4
Value Rank
6.2

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $37.11Resistance $40.88

Price Targets

$36
$52
A.Upside+33.8%
A.R:R5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $39.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $36.36. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the CSV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.20 (+33.8% upside). Prior stop was $36.36. Stop-loss: $36.36.

What are the risks of investing in CSV?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is CSV overvalued or undervalued?

Carriage Services, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSV?

9 analysts cover CSV with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Carriage Services, Inc. do?Carriage Services, Inc. provides funeral and cemetery services, and merchandise in the United States. It operates...

Carriage Services, Inc. provides funeral and cemetery services, and merchandise in the United States. It operates through two segments, Funeral Home Operations and Cemetery Operations. The Funeral Home Operations segment provides consultation services; funeral home facilities for visitation and memorial services; transportation services; removal and preparation of remains; cremation services; and related funeral merchandise, as well as engages in the sale of caskets and urns. The Cemetery Operations segment sells interment rights for grave sites, lawn crypts, mausoleum spaces, and niches; related cemetery merchandise, including memorial markers, outer burial containers, and monuments; and interments, inurnments, and installation of cemetery merchandise services. Carriage Services, Inc. was founded in 1991 and is based in Houston, Texas.

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