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CRTOCriteo S.A.Hold6.1·$19.08+3.30%
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Criteo S.A. (CRTO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-5.9% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 3.8%).

Criteo S.A., a technology company, provides platform to connects the commerce ecosystem for brands, agencies, retailers, and media owners to drive measurable business outcomes in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates in two... Read more

$19.08+11.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 16 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield18.78%
Stop $17.74Target $21.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$24.40+27.9%10 analysts
$21.23our TP
$19.08price
$24.40mean
$16
$35

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-5.9% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 3.8%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 40%
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-5.9% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 3.8%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.0
P/E (Fwd)4.2
Mkt Cap$959M
EV/EBITDA2.7
Profit Mgn6.0%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth-5.9%
Beta0.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
4.0
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.48Resistance $19.27

Price Targets

$18
$21
A.Upside+11.3%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRTO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-5.9% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 3.8%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $21.23 (+11.3%), stop $17.74 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRTO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.23 (+11.3% upside). Target $21.23 (+11.3%), stop $17.74 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $17.74.

What are the risks of investing in CRTO?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-5.9% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 3.8%).

Is CRTO overvalued or undervalued?

Criteo S.A. trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 4.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CRTO?

18 analysts cover CRTO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Criteo S.A. do?Criteo S.A., a technology company, provides platform to connects the commerce ecosystem for brands, agencies,...

Criteo S.A., a technology company, provides platform to connects the commerce ecosystem for brands, agencies, retailers, and media owners to drive measurable business outcomes in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates in two segments, Retail Media and Performance Media. The Retail Media segment connects brands to shoppers at the digital point of sale through personalized ads that appear on retailer websites and across the open internet. The Performance Media segment encompasses commerce activation, monetization, and services that enable advertisers to reach and convert consumers across channels. It also offers Commerce Max, a suite of retail media demand-side tools that allow brands, agencies, and retailers to plan and buy media across retailer and open internet inventory with closed-loop, product-level measurement, and return-on-ad-spend optimization; Commerce Growth, a solution for continuous customer acquisition and retention for performance marketers and agencies; and GO, an AI-driven solution that automates campaign creation and optimization. In addition, the company provides Commerce Yield, which offers monetization solutions that help retailers and marketplaces maximize the value of their digital assets through inventory and data management, packaging, and in-depth insights; Commerce Grid, a commerce-focused supply side platform for media owner data and inventory monetization; and Criteo Shopper Graph, which derives clients' proprietary commerce data, such as transaction activity on their digital properties. It serves retail, travel and marketplaces, and other commerce companies. Criteo S.A. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

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