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CRD-BCrawford & CompanySell5.2·$10.49-1.13%
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Crawford & Company (CRD-B) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.49: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Crawford & Company provides claims management and outsourcing solutions for carriers, brokers, and corporations in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, Canada, Australia, Asia, and Latin America. The company provides claims management services to insurance carriers and... Read more

$10.49+13.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#10 of 14 Insurance Brokers
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield13.00%
IncomeYield2.86%(5y avg 2.98%)Payout81.94%at-risk
Stop $9.76Target $11.90(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$14.00+33.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.49: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-32.0% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -673.9%), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.1
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$511M
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn1.4%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta0.60
Dividend2.86%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.1
Value Rank
6.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.7
Operating Margin
1.3
Gross Margin
1.8
Roa
3.1
Moat
3.1
Roe
3.6
Current Ratio
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 373% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.6
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.37Resistance $11.17

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+13.4%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-32.0% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -673.9%), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRD-B stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.49: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.76. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRD-B stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.90 (+13.4% upside). Prior stop was $9.76. Stop-loss: $9.76.

What are the risks of investing in CRD-B?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-32.0% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -673.9%), Negative free cash flow.

Is CRD-B overvalued or undervalued?

Crawford & Company trades at a P/E of 29.1 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRD-B?

11 analysts cover CRD-B with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Crawford & Company do?Crawford & Company provides claims management and outsourcing solutions for carriers, brokers, and corporations in the...

Crawford & Company provides claims management and outsourcing solutions for carriers, brokers, and corporations in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, Canada, Australia, Asia, and Latin America. The company provides claims management services to insurance carriers and self-insured entities risk, including property, public liability, automobile liability, and marine insurance; claims management and adjusting services to insurance carriers and self-insured entities from property and casualty insurance company markets; and field investigation and the evaluation and resolution of property and casualty insurance claims. It also offers claims management services, including workers' compensation, liability, and property; death and dismemberment, business travel, life, disability, critical illness, and credit protection claims programs; short and long term disability, family medical leave act, Americans with disabilities act, and state leave claims; legal services, risk management information, and consultative analytical services; loss mitigation services, such as medical bill review, medical case management and vocational rehabilitation; risk management information services; and administration of loss funds established to pay claims. In addition, the company provides managed repair service and outsourced contractor management to national and regional personal and commercial insurance carriers; services to insurance companies on losses caused by all types of natural disasters comprising fires, hailstorms, hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, as well as man-made disasters, such as oil spills, chemical releases, and explosions; staff augmentation that provides temporary staffing resources; and outsourced subrogation claims management, recovery, and consultative services for the property and casualty insurance industry. Crawford & Company was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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