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CRAICRA International,Inc.Sell5.2·$172.50+0.89%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock trades at an attractively valued forward multiple of 15.3 times earnings with a price-to-growth ratio of 1.08 and roughly 45% upside to analyst consensus targets, but a confirmed price downtrend, a Piotroski F-Score of only 2 out of 9, and a market capitalization of $0.95 billion that falls below the minimum investable threshold collectively justify avoiding entry until quality metrics and the price trend both improve.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation DiscountImproving
  • Large Upside To Analyst ConsensusImproving
  • Confirmed Downtrend Entry BlockStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CRA International,Inc. (CRAI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Industrials · Consulting Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $172.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

CRA International is a global economic, financial, and management consulting firm founded in 1965, advising corporations, law firms, and government agencies on litigation and regulatory matters, mergers and acquisitions, antitrust, damages, and business strategy. The firm... Read more

$172.50+23.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#5 of 9 Consulting Services
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield2.90%
IncomeYield1.32%(5y avg 1.17%)Payout29.29%sustainable
Stop $163.38Target $212.92(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$250.50+45.2%2 analysts
$212.92our TP
$172.50price
$250.50mean
$256

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $172.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CRA International,Inc.

About CRA International,Inc.

CRA International employed 959 consultants as of January 3, 2026, including 164 officers, 563 senior staff, and 232 junior staff, with approximately 79% of senior staff holding advanced degrees and 51% of those doctorates. Founded in 1965 and headquartered in Boston, the firm delivers economic, financial, and management consulting through an international network of offices across the Americas, Europe, and Australia, working across industries including financial services, healthcare, life sciences, energy, and technology.

CRA earns revenue through two practice areas: litigation, regulatory, and financial consulting, covering antitrust, damages and valuation, forensic and cyber investigations, intellectual property, international arbitration, and mergers and acquisitions support before agencies like the FTC, DOJ, and European Commission; and management consulting, covering corporate strategy, enterprise risk management, and transaction advisory services. The firm supplements its employee consultants with a network of non-employee academic and industry experts from institutions including Yale, the University of Chicago, and UC Berkeley, whose reputations help attract engagements and expert-witness assignments. CRA states that its business is diversified across service offerings, vertical industries, functional expertise, client base, and geography, which it believes reduces dependence on any particular market, industry, or geographic area. The firm derives a portion of revenue from a limited number of large engagements and, from time to time, from U.S. government agency contracts subject to federal budget priorities.

Show full overview

Because CRA has no material concentration in any single client, industry, or geography, by its own account, the firm's most concentrated exposure is to people rather than markets: revenue depends heavily on the efforts and personal client relationships of individual employee consultants and a select group of non-employee academic experts, most of whom can leave or limit their engagements at any time, with only limited, sometimes unenforceable, non-solicitation protections in place. The 10-K also flags that a portion of revenue comes from a limited number of large, one-off engagements rather than recurring contracts, so failing to replace a single major matter each year could disproportionately affect utilization and results.

See also: Industrials · Consulting Services

From CRA International,Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Analyst upside: 23%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.0
P/E (Fwd)18.0
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE26.0%
Rev Growth12.8%
Beta0.65
Dividend1.32%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $160.59Resistance $179.42

Price Targets

$163
$213
A.Upside+23.4%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRAI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $172.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $163.38. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the CRAI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $212.92 (+23.4% upside). Prior stop was $163.38. Stop-loss: $163.38.

What are the risks of investing in CRAI?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is CRAI overvalued or undervalued?

CRA International,Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.0 (forward 18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRAI?

8 analysts cover CRAI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $251.

What does CRA International,Inc. do?CRA International is a global economic, financial, and management consulting firm founded in 1965, advising...

CRA International is a global economic, financial, and management consulting firm founded in 1965, advising corporations, law firms, and government agencies on litigation and regulatory matters, mergers and acquisitions, antitrust, damages, and business strategy. The firm employs 959 consultants as of January 2026 across offices in the Americas, Europe, and Australia, and describes its business as diversified across service offerings, industries, clients, and geography to reduce dependence on any single market.

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