Skip to main content
CPNGCoupang, Inc.Sell4.3·$16.14-0.92%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An internet retailer with 37.5% implied analyst upside faces disqualifying quality concerns—business quality in the lowest tier, operating margins in negative territory at -1.0%, and three earnings misses in the last four quarters—paired with a confirmed price downtrend that actively works against near-term buyers; the setup is not investable until the business demonstrates sustainable unit economics.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Investable FloorStable
  • Persistent Earnings MissesStable
  • Confirmed Price DowntrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Coupang, Inc. (CPNG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.14: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.41; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Coupang operates e-commerce, food delivery, video streaming, and fintech through Product Commerce and Developing Offerings segments, primarily in Korea, serving customers in over 190 countries. With approximately 108,000 employees as of December 31, 2025 — the majority in Korea... Read more

$16.14+33.0% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#22 of 22 Internet Retail
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-0.84%
Stop $14.99Target $21.44(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst target$23.82+47.6%18 analysts
$21.44our TP
$16.14price
$23.82mean
$12
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.14: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.41; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15

Recent Developments — Coupang, Inc.

Generated 2026-08-15T10:47:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.9%), Material insider selling (57 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)60.5
Mkt Cap$29.2B
EV/EBITDA-626.2
Profit Mgn-2.2%
ROE-20.0%
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta1.16
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C3.41bearish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicKorea
    10-K Item 1A: 'because a majority of our operations take place in Korea and are subject to Korean law'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-14Item 5.02LOW
    Director Kevin M. Warsh resigned effective May 13, 2026 after the U.S. Senate confirmed him as Federal Reserve Chair. Departure required by federal ethics rules; no disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
1.7
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
3.5
Cash-burning: FCF -1% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
1.2
Value Rank
6.3

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
4.1
Bollinger
4.6

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.96Resistance $16.93

Price Targets

$15
$21
A.Upside+33.0%
A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.9%), Material insider selling (57 sells, 0.05% of cap)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPNG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.14: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.41; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $14.99. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.44 (+33.0% upside). Prior stop was $14.99. Stop-loss: $14.99.

What are the risks of investing in CPNG?

Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.9%), Material insider selling (57 sells, 0.05% of cap).

Is CPNG overvalued or undervalued?

Coupang, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 60.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPNG?

22 analysts cover CPNG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Coupang, Inc. do?Coupang operates e-commerce, food delivery, video streaming, and fintech through Product Commerce and Developing...

Coupang operates e-commerce, food delivery, video streaming, and fintech through Product Commerce and Developing Offerings segments, primarily in Korea, serving customers in over 190 countries. With approximately 108,000 employees as of December 31, 2025 — the majority in Korea — it ranks among Korea's largest private sector employers. Revenue stems mainly from Korean retail through same-day and dawn delivery under the Coupang and Rocket Now brands.

Related stocks: GLBE (Global-E Online Ltd.) · EBAY (eBay Inc.) · PDD (PDD Holdings Inc.) · CART (Maplebear Inc.) · VIPS (Vipshop Holdings Limited)
Home Stocks CPNG

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga17h ago
Benzinga22h ago
Benzinga2d ago
Benzinga9d ago
Benzinga9d agoAnalyst
Benzinga9d agoEarnings
Benzinga9d agoAnalyst
Benzinga9d agoAnalyst
Benzinga11d ago
Benzinga11d ago
Benzinga17d agoAnalyst
Benzinga37d agoLegal
Benzinga45d agoLegal
Benzinga61d ago
Benzinga65d ago
Benzinga65d ago
Benzinga92d ago
Benzinga93d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga97d ago
Benzinga101d ago
Loading more...