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COLDAmericold Realty Trust, Inc.Sell4.9·$14.32+1.56%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A four-quarter streak of earnings misses averaging 91% below estimates, business quality well below the investable minimum, negative price momentum, and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 7.25 combine to form one of the weakest fundamental and technical setups in the coverage universe—with no identifiable bull-case items and a quality floor breach that makes this a position to avoid.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Investable MinimumDeteriorating
  • Persistent Four Quarter Miss StreakImproving
  • Extreme Put Call Defensive PositioningDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (COLD) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.32: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Americold operates 231 temperature-controlled warehouses with approximately 1.4 billion cubic feet of capacity across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and South America as of December 31, 2025. The REIT generates revenue through Warehouse (storage and handling fees),... Read more

$14.32+2.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#13 of 16 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield11.58%
IncomeYield6.52%(5y avg 4.02%)Payout763.64%
Stop $13.36Target $14.64(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$16.26+13.6%17 analysts
$14.64our TP
$14.32price
$16.26mean
$13
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.32: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — Americold Realty Trust, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: temperature-controlled warehouses
Concentration risk — Customer: top-25 Warehouse customers (52.0%)
Target reached (2.2% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)572.8
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA15.9
Profit Mgn-4.3%
ROE-3.7%
Rev Growth0.3%
Beta0.98
Dividend6.52%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertytemperature-controlled warehouses
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our investments in real estate assets are concentrated in the industrial real estate industry, specifically in temperature-controlled warehouses'
  • HIGHCustomertop-25 Warehouse customers52%
    10-K Item 1: 'our 25 largest customers in our Warehouse segment represent 52%...of our total Warehouse segment revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -4.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.9
Operating Margin
1.7
Gross Margin
2.4
Current Ratio
3.1
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 25)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
1.9
Value Rank
8.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 11 daysDividend: 6.5%
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.77Resistance $16.88

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COLD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.32: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $13.36. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COLD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.64 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $13.36. Stop-loss: $13.36.

What are the risks of investing in COLD?

Concentration risk — Property Type: temperature-controlled warehouses; Concentration risk — Customer: top-25 Warehouse customers (52.0%); Target reached (2.2% upside).

Is COLD overvalued or undervalued?

Americold Realty Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 572.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COLD?

22 analysts cover COLD with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Americold Realty Trust, Inc. do?Americold operates 231 temperature-controlled warehouses with approximately 1.4 billion cubic feet of capacity across...

Americold operates 231 temperature-controlled warehouses with approximately 1.4 billion cubic feet of capacity across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and South America as of December 31, 2025. The REIT generates revenue through Warehouse (storage and handling fees), Transportation, and Third-Party Managed segments, serving 2,962 customers primarily in the food supply chain.

Related stocks: FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · SMA (SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.)
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